TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13051811
Played Aug 31Finished
Zdenek Dusek
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116116911116––
Marek Dlask
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:05 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeZdenek Dusek to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Dusek above · Marek Dlask below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 71 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Zdenek Dusek at 59.7%
71 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Dusek 7–2 Marek Dlask Marek Dlask has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:05What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Dusek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Dusek
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dusek 1335 vs Dlask 1487
Dlask
Wrong
both rated, 153 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dusek 40% vs Dlask 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dusek 30% vs Dlask 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dusek -1 · Dlask -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Dusek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dusek form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDusek 1.50 / Dlask 2.50
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Dlask)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13051811
Dusek1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite43% won 16 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it71% 5 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it63% 12 of 19
Dlask2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 28 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back34% 12 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back22% 5 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeDusek7wins
AwayDlask2wins
3 of 9 to a deciderDusek leads 7–2, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDusek75%6 of 8
AwayDlaskn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dusek8Dlask1n = 9Dusek took 8 of 9
S2Dusek4Dlask5n = 9Dlask took 5 of 9
S3Dusek6Dlask3n = 9Dusek took 6 of 9
S4Dusek6Dlask1n = 7Dusek took 6 of 7
S5Dusek1Dlask2n = 3Dlask took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home444%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricDusekDlaskDusek − DlaskBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set81+7of 9Avg pointsper match39.732.0+7.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDusekDlaskBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 483 vs 150 / 30840.6%48.7%196 / 483 vs 150 / 308Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DusekDusek 1.50/Dlask 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Dusek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dusek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WDec 15 · 22:20Z. Dusek—51111113M. Dlask—113551
WDec 15 · 21:20Z. Dusek—1112711113M. Dlask—51411952
WDec 9 · 22:25Z. Dusek—11511103M. Dlask—511561
LDec 9 · 20:20Z. Dusek—11511672M. Dlask—611911113
LAug 14 · 21:50Z. Dusek—11781132M. Dlask—311117113
WAug 14 · 20:10Z. Dusek—11812113M. Dlask—9111091
WJul 9 · 18:50Z. Dusek—1111113M. Dlask—8330
WJun 25 · 21:20Z. Dusek—11118123M. Dlask—7311101
WJun 25 · 20:20Z. Dusek—1111113M. Dlask—6390
Z. Dusek10
WAug 31 · 21:30M. Dlask1.60111241182Z. Dusek2.20714119113LAug 31 · 20:50L. Vich1.7311714113Z. Dusek2.009111241LAug 31 · 18:20S. Matousch2.251111123Z. Dusek1.5736100WAug 27 · 21:28Z. Dusek2.2511135113T. Barsa1.578111171LAug 27 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.61821113113Z. Dusek2.20111161152WAug 27 · 19:50Z. Dusek2.38118411113T. Barsa1.5361111562LAug 27 · 18:20T. Jr1.331111153Z. Dusek3.2546130LAug 24 · 21:23T. Jr1.361111123Z. Dusek3.0067100LAug 24 · 20:50Z. Dusek2.2511117892T. Barsa1.57791111113LAug 24 · 19:20T. Jr1.3671111113Z. Dusek3.00117751
M. Dlask10
LAug 31 · 21:30M. Dlask1.60111241182Z. Dusek2.20714119113WAug 31 · 20:20S. Matousch1.6712991182M. Dlask2.101011113113LAug 31 · 18:50M. Dlask3.001112541L. Vich1.3651411113WAug 26 · 21:20M. Dlask1.67119811113M. Nemec2.1091111972LAug 26 · 20:20M. Dlask1.5789100J. Rolik2.251111123LAug 26 · 19:20M. Dlask2.20261181R. Zeman1.6111118113WAug 26 · 18:20M. Dlask1.731111113M. Nemec2.009850LAug 25 · 21:25M. Dlask2.2061171182R. Zeman1.61118116113LAug 25 · 20:20J. Mach1.571111811113M. Dlask2.2599111342LAug 25 · 19:50M. Nemec2.0011139113M. Dlask1.736111171
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.