TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13015370
Played Aug 25Finished
Marek Dlask
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611118711116811
Radek Zeman
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:22 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeMarek Dlask to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarek Dlask above · Radek Zeman below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 90 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Marek Dlask at 55.9%
90 points played in total.
H2H Marek Dlask 42–41 Radek Zeman Radek Zeman has won 41 of their 83 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:22What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-41 in 83
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dlask 1499 vs Zeman 1407
Dlask
Wrong
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dlask 40% vs Zeman 20%
Dlask
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dlask 60% vs Zeman 30%
Dlask
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dlask -3 · Zeman -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Zeman) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeman form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDlask 2.20 / Zeman 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Zeman)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13015370
Dlask2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 28 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back37% 13 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back23% 5 of 22
Zeman1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 119 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it90% 68 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it77% 92 of 119
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDlask7wins
AwayZeman3wins
7 of 10 to a deciderDlask leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDlask100%3 of 3
AwayZeman42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dlask3Zeman7n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S2Dlask6Zeman4n = 10Dlask took 6 of 10
S3Dlask2Zeman8n = 10Zeman took 8 of 10
S4Dlask4Zeman4n = 8split evenly
S5Dlask7Zeman0n = 7Dlask took 7 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home770%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDlaskZemanD − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.843.8−2.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDlaskZemanBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 306 vs 331 / 62548.7%53%149 / 306 vs 331 / 625Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanDlask 2.20/Zeman 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 18:50M. Dlask—111176133R. Zeman—691111112
LAug 19 · 21:58M. Dlask—611821R. Zeman—11511113
WAug 19 · 18:50M. Dlask—118411163R. Zeman—611117142
WAug 13 · 19:55M. Dlask—311611113R. Zeman—11911792
LAug 10 · 20:50M. Dlask—38110R. Zeman—1111133
LAug 4 · 21:23M. Dlask—68100R. Zeman—1111123
WAug 4 · 18:50M. Dlask—117711113R. Zeman—31111642
WAug 3 · 19:50M. Dlask—412116113R. Zeman—111091172
WJul 22 · 20:20M. Dlask—1115811143R. Zeman—1313119122
WJul 14 · 18:20M. Dlask—10111310113R. Zeman—122111292
M. Dlask10
LAug 31 · 21:30M. Dlask1.60111241182Z. Dusek2.20714119113WAug 31 · 20:20S. Matousch1.6712991182M. Dlask2.101011113113LAug 31 · 19:50Z. Dusek1.5011119113M. Dlask2.50661161LAug 31 · 18:50M. Dlask3.001112541L. Vich1.3651411113WAug 26 · 21:20M. Dlask1.67119811113M. Nemec2.1091111972LAug 26 · 20:20M. Dlask1.5789100J. Rolik2.251111123LAug 26 · 19:20M. Dlask2.20261181R. Zeman1.6111118113WAug 26 · 18:20M. Dlask1.731111113M. Nemec2.009850LAug 25 · 20:20J. Mach1.571111811113M. Dlask2.2599111342LAug 25 · 19:50M. Nemec2.0011139113M. Dlask1.736111171
R. Zeman10
LSep 7 · 21:20R. Zeman2.025740P. Cibik1.701111113WSep 7 · 20:20P. Cibik1.611111103122R. Zeman2.20871211143LSep 7 · 19:50L. Vich1.611111113R. Zeman2.206640LSep 7 · 18:50R. Zeman2.7581070Z. Vyskocil1.401112113WSep 6 · 13:24M. Nemec2.457960R. Zeman1.48111183LSep 6 · 12:20R. Zeman2.1071260Z. Vyskocil1.671114113LSep 6 · 11:20R. Zeman1.40711871M. Nemec2.7511911113LSep 6 · 10:20R. Zeman2.10141380P. Cibik1.671615113WSep 4 · 17:50R. Zeman1.711114113J. Rolik2.0061260WAug 26 · 19:20M. Dlask2.20261181R. Zeman1.6111118113
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