TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13017748
Played Aug 26Finished
Marek Dlask
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
211611118811––
Radek Zeman
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Zeman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Dlask above · Radek Zeman below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 68 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Radek Zeman at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Marek Dlask 42–43 Radek Zeman Marek Dlask has won 42 of their 85 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:54What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-43 in 85
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dlask 1476 vs Zeman 1427
Dlask
Wrong
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dlask 40% vs Zeman 20%
Dlask
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dlask 60% vs Zeman 30%
Dlask
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dlask +1 · Zeman -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Zeman) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeman form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDlask 2.20 / Zeman 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Zeman)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13017748
Dlask2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 29 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back35% 13 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back22% 5 of 23
Zeman1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 120 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it90% 68 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it78% 93 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDlask5wins
AwayZeman5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDlask100%3 of 3
AwayZeman71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dlask3Zeman7n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S2Dlask5Zeman5n = 10split evenly
S3Dlask2Zeman8n = 10Zeman took 8 of 10
S4Dlask4Zeman4n = 8split evenly
S5Dlask5Zeman1n = 6Dlask took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDlaskZemanD − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.442.2−4.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDlaskZemanBasisWin rate · lifetime150 / 308 vs 332 / 62748.7%53%150 / 308 vs 332 / 627Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanDlask 2.20/Zeman 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 19:20M. Dlask—261181R. Zeman—11118113
LAug 25 · 21:25M. Dlask—61171182R. Zeman—118116113
WAug 25 · 18:50M. Dlask—111176133R. Zeman—691111112
LAug 19 · 21:58M. Dlask—611821R. Zeman—11511113
WAug 19 · 18:50M. Dlask—118411163R. Zeman—611117142
WAug 13 · 19:55M. Dlask—311611113R. Zeman—11911792
LAug 10 · 20:50M. Dlask—38110R. Zeman—1111133
LAug 4 · 21:23M. Dlask—68100R. Zeman—1111123
WAug 4 · 18:50M. Dlask—117711113R. Zeman—31111642
WAug 3 · 19:50M. Dlask—412116113R. Zeman—111091172
M. Dlask10
LAug 31 · 21:30M. Dlask1.60111241182Z. Dusek2.20714119113WAug 31 · 20:20S. Matousch1.6712991182M. Dlask2.101011113113LAug 31 · 19:50Z. Dusek1.5011119113M. Dlask2.50661161LAug 31 · 18:50M. Dlask3.001112541L. Vich1.3651411113WAug 26 · 21:20M. Dlask1.67119811113M. Nemec2.1091111972LAug 26 · 20:20M. Dlask1.5789100J. Rolik2.251111123WAug 26 · 18:20M. Dlask1.731111113M. Nemec2.009850LAug 25 · 21:25M. Dlask2.2061171182R. Zeman1.61118116113LAug 25 · 20:20J. Mach1.571111811113M. Dlask2.2599111342LAug 25 · 19:50M. Nemec2.0011139113M. Dlask1.736111171
R. Zeman10
WSep 6 · 13:24M. Nemec2.457960R. Zeman1.48111183LSep 6 · 12:20R. Zeman2.1071260Z. Vyskocil1.671114113LSep 6 · 11:20R. Zeman1.40711871M. Nemec2.7511911113LSep 6 · 10:20R. Zeman2.10141380P. Cibik1.671615113WSep 4 · 17:50R. Zeman1.711114113J. Rolik2.0061260WSep 4 · 16:50R. Zeman1.441111113M. Nemec2.638770WSep 4 · 15:20M. Kolbusovsky4.3310390R. Zeman1.201211113LSep 4 · 14:50J. Rolik2.20781111113R. Zeman1.6111114462LAug 30 · 21:24P. Cibik1.731211113R. Zeman2.0010060WAug 25 · 21:25M. Dlask2.2061171182R. Zeman1.61118116113
Upcoming Matches
M. Dlask
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R. Zeman
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