TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13011595
Played Aug 25Finished
Michal Nemec
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161311911117––
Marek Dlask
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:46 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeMarek Dlask to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMichal Nemec above · Marek Dlask below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 79 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Marek Dlask at 61.7%
79 points played in total.
H2H Michal Nemec 19–24 Marek Dlask Michal Nemec has won 19 of their 43 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:46What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dlask
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-24 in 43
Dlask
Wrong
gap of 5 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nemec 1380 vs Dlask 1527
Dlask
Wrong
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nemec 80% vs Dlask 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nemec 70% vs Dlask 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nemec +2 · Dlask +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Dlask)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dlask form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNemec 2.00 / Dlask 1.73
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Dlask)+8.0pp
TT Cup · #13011595
Nemec2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 78 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back18% 24 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 70
Dlask1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 38 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it74% 25 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNemec5wins
AwayDlask5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNemec60%3 of 5
AwayDlask60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nemec5Dlask5n = 10split evenly
S2Nemec4Dlask6n = 10Dlask took 6 of 10
S3Nemec8Dlask2n = 10Nemec took 8 of 10
S4Nemec6Dlask3n = 9Nemec took 6 of 9
S5Nemec1Dlask4n = 5Dlask took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricNemecDlaskN − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.338.7+4.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNemecDlaskBasisWin rate · lifetime390 / 792 vs 149 / 30449.2%49%390 / 792 vs 149 / 304Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DlaskNemec 2.00/Dlask 1.73
Miss
What we said
61.7%
Dlask · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Nemec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 19 · 19:50M. Nemec—97111172M. Dlask—111129113
LAug 18 · 21:50M. Nemec—781161M. Dlask—11113113
WAug 18 · 20:50M. Nemec—101111113M. Dlask—127641
WAug 13 · 21:55M. Nemec—11111011113M. Dlask—13112652
LAug 13 · 19:25M. Nemec—128121092M. Dlask—10111012113
LAug 10 · 19:20M. Nemec—114611142M. Dlask—911118163
WAug 3 · 18:50M. Nemec—1111113M. Dlask—5780
LJul 29 · 21:54M. Nemec—101111962M. Dlask—128811113
WJul 29 · 18:50M. Nemec—11911113M. Dlask—711961
WJul 22 · 19:20M. Nemec—11711113M. Dlask—611661
M. Nemec10
LSep 6 · 13:24M. Nemec2.457960R. Zeman1.48111183LSep 6 · 12:50M. Nemec2.2051350P. Cibik1.611115113WSep 6 · 11:20R. Zeman1.40711871M. Nemec2.7511911113WSep 6 · 10:50Z. Vyskocil1.508990M. Nemec2.501111113LSep 4 · 17:25M. Kolbusovsky2.0013117113M. Nemec1.701161171LSep 4 · 16:50R. Zeman1.441111113M. Nemec2.638770LSep 4 · 15:50M. Nemec1.911171191J. Rolik1.8031113113LSep 4 · 14:20M. Kolbusovsky2.38914116113M. Nemec1.53111241182LSep 3 · 17:55J. Rolik1.801211113M. Nemec1.9010990WSep 3 · 16:50J. Brynych2.105117101M. Nemec1.6711911123
M. Dlask10
LAug 31 · 21:30M. Dlask1.60111241182Z. Dusek2.20714119113WAug 31 · 20:20S. Matousch1.6712991182M. Dlask2.101011113113LAug 31 · 19:50Z. Dusek1.5011119113M. Dlask2.50661161LAug 31 · 18:50M. Dlask3.001112541L. Vich1.3651411113WAug 26 · 21:20M. Dlask1.67119811113M. Nemec2.1091111972LAug 26 · 20:20M. Dlask1.5789100J. Rolik2.251111123LAug 26 · 19:20M. Dlask2.20261181R. Zeman1.6111118113WAug 26 · 18:20M. Dlask1.731111113M. Nemec2.009850LAug 25 · 21:25M. Dlask2.2061171182R. Zeman1.61118116113LAug 25 · 20:20J. Mach1.571111811113M. Dlask2.2599111342
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