TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13011584
Played Aug 25Finished
Jakub Mach
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191198111113114
Marek Dlask
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:46 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeJakub Mach to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Mach above · Marek Dlask below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 98 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Jakub Mach at 60.9%
98 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Mach 13–10 Marek Dlask Marek Dlask has won 10 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:46What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Mach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-10 in 23
Mach
Correct
gap of 3 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mach 1520 vs Dlask 1510
Mach
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mach 80% vs Dlask 60%
Mach
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mach 60% vs Dlask 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mach +1 · Dlask -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Mach)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dlask form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMach 1.57 / Dlask 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Mach)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #13011584
Mach1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite61% won 50 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it82% 23 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it76% 40 of 53
Dlask2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 28 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back37% 13 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back23% 5 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMach4wins
AwayDlask6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDlask leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMach42.9%3 of 7
AwayDlask66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mach7Dlask3n = 10Mach took 7 of 10
S2Mach8Dlask2n = 10Mach took 8 of 10
S3Mach4Dlask6n = 10Dlask took 6 of 10
S4Mach2Dlask5n = 7Dlask took 5 of 7
S5Mach0Dlask4n = 4Dlask took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMachDlaskM − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.638.0+0.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachDlaskBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 428 vs 149 / 30548.1%48.9%206 / 428 vs 149 / 305Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MachMach 1.57/Dlask 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.9%
Mach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 22 · 22:03J. Mach—11119113M. Dlask—361151
LJul 22 · 18:20J. Mach—1111551M. Dlask—13711113
LJul 14 · 19:20J. Mach—13111982M. Dlask—1151111113
LJun 24 · 22:35J. Mach—121166102M. Dlask—1091111123
WJun 24 · 18:55J. Mach—1111113M. Dlask—3850
LJun 11 · 19:20J. Mach—11912452M. Dlask—5111011113
LJun 2 · 20:20J. Mach—10690M. Dlask—1211113
WMay 21 · 18:55J. Mach—81111133M. Dlask—1137111
LDec 17 · 20:20J. Mach—111171272M. Dlask—981114113
WOct 29 · 21:10J. Mach—1211123M. Dlask—108100
J. Mach10
WAug 25 · 21:55M. Nemec1.7054120J. Mach1.961111143WAug 25 · 19:20J. Mach1.5041111113R. Zeman2.50119891LAug 25 · 18:20J. Mach1.5011101191M. Nemec2.5091213113WAug 23 · 17:59J. Mach1.731113113M. Nemec2.0011190WAug 23 · 16:50J. Mach2.251112911113Z. Dusek1.5731411862WAug 23 · 15:18R. Zeman2.5010270J. Mach1.501211113LAug 23 · 14:50M. Nemec2.50131111113J. Mach1.47156681WAug 18 · 21:18J. Mach1.44711114113J. Rolik2.6311781162WAug 18 · 20:20J. Mach1.36111267133J. Rolik3.009101111112LAug 18 · 19:20J. Mach1.53131171182M. Dlask2.381181113113
M. Dlask10
LAug 31 · 21:30M. Dlask1.60111241182Z. Dusek2.20714119113WAug 31 · 20:20S. Matousch1.6712991182M. Dlask2.101011113113LAug 31 · 19:50Z. Dusek1.5011119113M. Dlask2.50661161LAug 31 · 18:50M. Dlask3.001112541L. Vich1.3651411113WAug 26 · 21:20M. Dlask1.67119811113M. Nemec2.1091111972LAug 26 · 20:20M. Dlask1.5789100J. Rolik2.251111123LAug 26 · 19:20M. Dlask2.20261181R. Zeman1.6111118113WAug 26 · 18:20M. Dlask1.731111113M. Nemec2.009850LAug 25 · 21:25M. Dlask2.2061171182R. Zeman1.61118116113WAug 18 · 19:20J. Mach1.53131171182M. Dlask2.381181113113
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