TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12457433
Played Aug 18Finished
Jakub Mach
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711117118411116
Jakub Rolik
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJakub Mach above · Jakub Rolik below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 87 set 5, 11-6
87 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Mach 6–1 Jakub Rolik Jakub Rolik has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Mach)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rolik form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMach 1.44 / Rolik 2.63
Signal prob.76% / 25%
Edge (Mach)+11.0pp
TT Cup · #12457433
Mach1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite58% won 46 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it83% 20 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Rolik2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 88 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back26% 31 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back18% 12 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMach6wins
AwayRolik1wins
3 of 7 to a deciderMach leads 6–1, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMach85.7%6 of 7
AwayRolikn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mach7Rolik0n = 7Mach took 7 of 7
S2Mach4Rolik3n = 7Mach took 4 of 7
S3Mach3Rolik4n = 7Rolik took 4 of 7
S4Mach2Rolik2n = 4split evenly
S5Mach3Rolik0n = 3Mach took 3 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricMachRolikM − RBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set70+7of 7Avg pointsper match40.036.0+4.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachRolikBasisWin rate · lifetime204 / 425 vs 293 / 61448%47.7%204 / 425 vs 293 / 614Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MachMach 1.44/Rolik 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.5%
Mach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 18 · 20:20J. Mach—111267133J. Rolik—9101111112
WJul 27 · 20:25J. Mach—1111113J. Rolik—7690
WJul 20 · 21:50J. Mach—1210511123J. Rolik—1012117102
WJul 20 · 19:20J. Mach—1112123J. Rolik—510100
LJul 14 · 18:50J. Mach—165361J. Rolik—141111113
WMar 1 · 14:25J. Mach—1111113J. Rolik—8720
WFeb 4 · 22:10J. Mach—119712113J. Rolik—611111012
J. Mach10
WAug 25 · 21:55M. Nemec1.7054120J. Mach1.961111143WAug 25 · 20:20J. Mach1.571111811113M. Dlask2.2599111342WAug 25 · 19:20J. Mach1.5041111113R. Zeman2.50119891LAug 25 · 18:20J. Mach1.5011101191M. Nemec2.5091213113WAug 23 · 17:59J. Mach1.731113113M. Nemec2.0011190WAug 23 · 16:50J. Mach2.251112911113Z. Dusek1.5731411862WAug 23 · 15:18R. Zeman2.5010270J. Mach1.501211113LAug 23 · 14:50M. Nemec2.50131111113J. Mach1.47156681WAug 18 · 20:20J. Mach1.36111267133J. Rolik3.009101111112LAug 18 · 19:20J. Mach1.53131171182M. Dlask2.381181113113
J. Rolik10
LSep 4 · 17:50R. Zeman1.711114113J. Rolik2.0061260LSep 4 · 16:20M. Kolbusovsky2.751181110113J. Rolik1.4071181282WSep 4 · 15:50M. Nemec1.911171191J. Rolik1.8031113113WSep 4 · 14:50J. Rolik2.20781111113R. Zeman1.6111114462WSep 3 · 17:55J. Rolik1.801211113M. Nemec1.9010990LSep 3 · 16:20J. Rolik1.571110110O. Sebek2.251312133WSep 3 · 15:20J. Rolik1.91711611113J. Brynych1.8011711982WSep 3 · 14:20J. Rolik1.731113512113M. Nemec2.00911111482WSep 1 · 13:30J. Rolik2.20811148123S. Matousch1.611171211102LAug 18 · 20:20J. Mach1.36111267133J. Rolik3.009101111112
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