TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12480882
Played Aug 23Finished
Radek Zeman
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012211711––––
Jakub Mach
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingRadek Zeman above · Jakub Mach below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 53 set 3, 7-11
53 points played in total.
H2H Radek Zeman 3–12 Jakub Mach Radek Zeman has won 3 of their 15 meetings.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Mach)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mach form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 2.50 / Mach 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Mach)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12480882
Zeman2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 32 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back20% 8 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Mach1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 48 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it81% 21 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it75% 38 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeman2wins
AwayMach8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMach leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeman66.7%2 of 3
AwayMach100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman3Mach7n = 10Mach took 7 of 10
S2Zeman2Mach8n = 10Mach took 8 of 10
S3Zeman5Mach5n = 10split evenly
S4Zeman2Mach6n = 8Mach took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZemanMachZ − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.442.7−7.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanMachBasisWin rate · lifetime332 / 622 vs 202 / 42353.4%47.8%332 / 622 vs 202 / 423Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MachZeman 2.50/Mach 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Mach · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 9 · 11:20R. Zeman—51281162J. Mach—1110116113
LJul 25 · 14:25R. Zeman—16101171J. Mach—18125113
LJul 25 · 11:25R. Zeman—31490J. Mach—1116113
LJul 22 · 19:50R. Zeman—1172121J. Mach—91111143
LJul 20 · 18:50R. Zeman—6111141J. Mach—11813113
WJul 14 · 21:30R. Zeman—118117163J. Mach—811911142
LJul 14 · 20:50R. Zeman—441281J. Mach—111110113
WJun 14 · 10:20R. Zeman—111111113J. Mach—613781
LJul 16 · 21:55R. Zeman—361191J. Mach—11119113
LJul 16 · 18:40R. Zeman—10860J. Mach—1211113
R. Zeman10
WSep 6 · 13:24M. Nemec2.457960R. Zeman1.48111183LSep 6 · 12:20R. Zeman2.1071260Z. Vyskocil1.671114113LSep 6 · 11:20R. Zeman1.40711871M. Nemec2.7511911113LSep 6 · 10:20R. Zeman2.10141380P. Cibik1.671615113WSep 4 · 17:50R. Zeman1.711114113J. Rolik2.0061260WSep 4 · 16:50R. Zeman1.441111113M. Nemec2.638770WSep 4 · 15:20M. Kolbusovsky4.3310390R. Zeman1.201211113LSep 4 · 14:50J. Rolik2.20781111113R. Zeman1.6111114462LAug 30 · 21:24P. Cibik1.731211113R. Zeman2.0010060LAug 30 · 20:20P. Cibik1.7311121110123R. Zeman2.00914812102
J. Mach10
WAug 25 · 21:55M. Nemec1.7054120J. Mach1.961111143WAug 25 · 20:20J. Mach1.571111811113M. Dlask2.2599111342WAug 25 · 19:20J. Mach1.5041111113R. Zeman2.50119891LAug 25 · 18:20J. Mach1.5011101191M. Nemec2.5091213113WAug 23 · 17:59J. Mach1.731113113M. Nemec2.0011190WAug 23 · 16:50J. Mach2.251112911113Z. Dusek1.5731411862LAug 23 · 14:50M. Nemec2.50131111113J. Mach1.47156681WAug 18 · 21:18J. Mach1.44711114113J. Rolik2.6311781162WAug 18 · 20:20J. Mach1.36111267133J. Rolik3.009101111112LAug 18 · 19:20J. Mach1.53131171182M. Dlask2.381181113113
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