TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13011585
Played Aug 25Finished
Jakub Mach
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
411119118119––
Radek Zeman
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:46 and never touched — 70.3% is still 70.3%
Graded at full timeJakub Mach to win
70.3%
70.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Mach above · Radek Zeman below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 74 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jakub Mach at 70.3%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Mach 14–3 Radek Zeman Radek Zeman has won 3 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:46What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Mach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-3 in 17
Mach
Correct
gap of 11 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mach 1520 vs Zeman 1420
Mach
Correct
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mach 60% vs Zeman 40%
Mach
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mach 60% vs Zeman 30%
Mach
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mach -1 · Zeman -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Mach) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMach 1.50 / Zeman 2.50
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Mach)+8.8pp
TT Cup · #13011585
Mach1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite61% won 50 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it82% 23 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it76% 40 of 53
Zeman2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 32 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back20% 8 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMach8wins
AwayZeman2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMach leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMach100%6 of 6
AwayZeman50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mach6Zeman4n = 10Mach took 6 of 10
S2Mach8Zeman2n = 10Mach took 8 of 10
S3Mach6Zeman4n = 10Mach took 6 of 10
S4Mach6Zeman2n = 8Mach took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMachZemanM − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.235.7+6.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachZemanBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 428 vs 331 / 62448.1%53%206 / 428 vs 331 / 624Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MachMach 1.50/Zeman 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.3%
Mach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 19:20J. Mach—41111113R. Zeman—119891
WAug 23 · 15:18J. Mach—1211113R. Zeman—10270
WAug 9 · 11:20J. Mach—1110116113R. Zeman—51281162
WJul 25 · 14:25J. Mach—18125113R. Zeman—16101171
WJul 25 · 11:25J. Mach—1116113R. Zeman—31490
WJul 22 · 19:50J. Mach—91111143R. Zeman—1172121
WJul 20 · 18:50J. Mach—11813113R. Zeman—6111141
LJul 14 · 21:30J. Mach—811911142R. Zeman—118117163
WJul 14 · 20:50J. Mach—111110113R. Zeman—441281
LJun 14 · 10:20J. Mach—613781R. Zeman—111111113
J. Mach10
WAug 25 · 21:55M. Nemec1.7054120J. Mach1.961111143WAug 25 · 20:20J. Mach1.571111811113M. Dlask2.2599111342LAug 25 · 18:20J. Mach1.5011101191M. Nemec2.5091213113WAug 23 · 17:59J. Mach1.731113113M. Nemec2.0011190WAug 23 · 16:50J. Mach2.251112911113Z. Dusek1.5731411862WAug 23 · 15:18R. Zeman2.5010270J. Mach1.501211113LAug 23 · 14:50M. Nemec2.50131111113J. Mach1.47156681WAug 18 · 21:18J. Mach1.44711114113J. Rolik2.6311781162WAug 18 · 20:20J. Mach1.36111267133J. Rolik3.009101111112LAug 18 · 19:20J. Mach1.53131171182M. Dlask2.381181113113
R. Zeman10
WSep 6 · 13:24M. Nemec2.457960R. Zeman1.48111183LSep 6 · 12:20R. Zeman2.1071260Z. Vyskocil1.671114113LSep 6 · 11:20R. Zeman1.40711871M. Nemec2.7511911113LSep 6 · 10:20R. Zeman2.10141380P. Cibik1.671615113WSep 4 · 17:50R. Zeman1.711114113J. Rolik2.0061260WSep 4 · 16:50R. Zeman1.441111113M. Nemec2.638770WSep 4 · 15:20M. Kolbusovsky4.3310390R. Zeman1.201211113LSep 4 · 14:50J. Rolik2.20781111113R. Zeman1.6111114462LAug 30 · 21:24P. Cibik1.731211113R. Zeman2.0010060LAug 23 · 15:18R. Zeman2.5010270J. Mach1.501211113
Upcoming Matches
J. Mach
Nothing scheduled
R. Zeman
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