TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13051637
Played Aug 31Finished
Marek Dlask
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1151214511411––
Lukas Vich
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:25 and never touched — 69.6% is still 69.6%
Graded at full timeLukas Vich to win
69.6%
69.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Dlask above · Lukas Vich below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 73 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Lukas Vich at 69.6%
73 points played in total.
H2H Marek Dlask 1–5 Lukas Vich Marek Dlask has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:25What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Vich
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Vich
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dlask 1470 vs Vich 1525
Vich
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dlask 40% vs Vich 60%
Vich
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dlask 40% vs Vich 60%
Vich
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dlask +1 · Vich -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Vich) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vich form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDlask 3.00 / Vich 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Vich)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13051637
Dlask3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 28 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back34% 12 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back22% 5 of 23
Vich1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite46% won 34 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it61% 20 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeDlask1wins
AwayVich5wins
Vich leads 5–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDlask33.3%1 of 3
AwayVich100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dlask3Vich3n = 6split evenly
S2Dlask0Vich6n = 6Vich took 6 of 6
S3Dlask2Vich4n = 6Vich took 4 of 6
S4Dlask1Vich3n = 4Vich took 3 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricDlaskVichD − VBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match30.238.8−8.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDlaskVichBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 310 vs 239 / 52048.7%46%151 / 310 vs 239 / 520Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VichDlask 3.00/Vich 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.2%
Vich · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vich won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 31 · 18:50M. Dlask—1112541L. Vich—51411113
LAug 4 · 20:20M. Dlask—118361L. Vich—81111113
WJul 29 · 19:50M. Dlask—131011113L. Vich—1112771
LApr 13 · 18:55M. Dlask—15720L. Vich—1711113
LDec 9 · 21:20M. Dlask—9660L. Vich—1111113
LOct 4 · 18:50M. Dlask—471191L. Vich—11119113
M. Dlask10
LAug 31 · 21:30M. Dlask1.60111241182Z. Dusek2.20714119113WAug 31 · 20:20S. Matousch1.6712991182M. Dlask2.101011113113LAug 31 · 19:50Z. Dusek1.5011119113M. Dlask2.50661161WAug 26 · 21:20M. Dlask1.67119811113M. Nemec2.1091111972LAug 26 · 20:20M. Dlask1.5789100J. Rolik2.251111123LAug 26 · 19:20M. Dlask2.20261181R. Zeman1.6111118113WAug 26 · 18:20M. Dlask1.731111113M. Nemec2.009850LAug 25 · 21:25M. Dlask2.2061171182R. Zeman1.61118116113LAug 25 · 20:20J. Mach1.571111811113M. Dlask2.2599111342LAug 25 · 19:50M. Nemec2.0011139113M. Dlask1.736111171
L. Vich10
LSep 6 · 22:35T. Rein1.921211113L. Vich1.7810540LSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113WSep 6 · 19:55T. Jr2.00811991L. Vich1.7311811113WSep 6 · 19:25Z. Vyskocil1.731110111162L. Vich2.00712913113WSep 2 · 22:03L. Vich1.671711123M. Juhasz2.10158100WSep 2 · 20:55L. Vich1.8311113113M. Juhasz1.83891181LSep 2 · 19:55L. Vich1.831151051Z. Vyskocil1.8391112113LSep 2 · 18:55L. Vich2.205380T. Barsa1.611111113LAug 31 · 22:00L. Vich1.67111011772S. Matousch2.07512911113WAug 31 · 20:50L. Vich1.7311714113Z. Dusek2.009111241
Upcoming Matches
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