TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13017772
Played Aug 26Finished
Marek Dlask
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118115––––
Michal Nemec
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:56 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeMarek Dlask to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingMarek Dlask above · Michal Nemec below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 55 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Marek Dlask at 55.5%
55 points played in total.
H2H Marek Dlask 24–20 Michal Nemec Michal Nemec has won 20 of their 44 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:56What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dlask
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-20 in 44
Dlask
Correct
gap of 4 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dlask 1493 vs Nemec 1401
Dlask
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dlask 20% vs Nemec 80%
Nemec
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dlask 50% vs Nemec 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dlask -3 · Nemec -1
Dlask
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Dlask) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nemec form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDlask 1.73 / Nemec 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Dlask)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13017772
Dlask1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 38 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it74% 25 of 34
Nemec2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 81 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back19% 25 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDlask5wins
AwayNemec5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDlask60%3 of 5
AwayNemec60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dlask5Nemec5n = 10split evenly
S2Dlask5Nemec5n = 10split evenly
S3Dlask3Nemec7n = 10Nemec took 7 of 10
S4Dlask3Nemec6n = 9Nemec took 6 of 9
S5Dlask4Nemec1n = 5Dlask took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDlaskNemecD − NBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.343.7−4.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDlaskNemecBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 307 vs 392 / 79548.5%49.3%149 / 307 vs 392 / 795Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DlaskDlask 1.73/Nemec 2.00
Hit
What we said
56.5%
Dlask · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dlask won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 19:50M. Dlask—6111171M. Nemec—11139113
WAug 19 · 19:50M. Dlask—111129113M. Nemec—97111172
WAug 18 · 21:50M. Dlask—11113113M. Nemec—781161
LAug 18 · 20:50M. Dlask—127641M. Nemec—101111113
LAug 13 · 21:55M. Dlask—13112652M. Nemec—11111011113
WAug 13 · 19:25M. Dlask—10111012113M. Nemec—128121092
WAug 10 · 19:20M. Dlask—911118163M. Nemec—114611142
LAug 3 · 18:50M. Dlask—5780M. Nemec—1111113
WJul 29 · 21:54M. Dlask—128811113M. Nemec—101111962
LJul 29 · 18:50M. Dlask—711961M. Nemec—11911113
M. Dlask10
LAug 31 · 21:30M. Dlask1.60111241182Z. Dusek2.20714119113WAug 31 · 20:20S. Matousch1.6712991182M. Dlask2.101011113113LAug 31 · 19:50Z. Dusek1.5011119113M. Dlask2.50661161LAug 31 · 18:50M. Dlask3.001112541L. Vich1.3651411113WAug 26 · 21:20M. Dlask1.67119811113M. Nemec2.1091111972LAug 26 · 20:20M. Dlask1.5789100J. Rolik2.251111123LAug 26 · 19:20M. Dlask2.20261181R. Zeman1.6111118113LAug 25 · 21:25M. Dlask2.2061171182R. Zeman1.61118116113LAug 25 · 20:20J. Mach1.571111811113M. Dlask2.2599111342LAug 25 · 19:50M. Nemec2.0011139113M. Dlask1.736111171
M. Nemec10
LSep 6 · 13:24M. Nemec2.457960R. Zeman1.48111183LSep 6 · 12:50M. Nemec2.2051350P. Cibik1.611115113WSep 6 · 11:20R. Zeman1.40711871M. Nemec2.7511911113WSep 6 · 10:50Z. Vyskocil1.508990M. Nemec2.501111113LSep 4 · 17:25M. Kolbusovsky2.0013117113M. Nemec1.701161171LSep 4 · 16:50R. Zeman1.441111113M. Nemec2.638770LSep 4 · 15:50M. Nemec1.911171191J. Rolik1.8031113113LSep 4 · 14:20M. Kolbusovsky2.38914116113M. Nemec1.53111241182LAug 26 · 21:20M. Dlask1.67119811113M. Nemec2.1091111972WAug 25 · 19:50M. Nemec2.0011139113M. Dlask1.736111171
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.