TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13078519
Played Sep 4Finished
Michal Kolbusovsky
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311116711117––
Michal Nemec
Away
1.70
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingMichal Kolbusovsky above · Michal Nemec below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 10-7
Point 76 set 4, 10-7
76 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Michal Kolbusovsky 21–35 Michal Nemec Michal Kolbusovsky has won 21 of their 56 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Nemec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nemec form (20%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolbusovsky 2.00 / Nemec 1.70
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Nemec)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13078519
Kolbusovsky2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 56 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back22% 19 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 51
Nemec1.70
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 88 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it79% 59 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolbusovsky3wins
AwayNemec7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderNemec leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolbusovsky40%2 of 5
AwayNemec80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolbusovsky5Nemec5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolbusovsky4Nemec6n = 10Nemec took 6 of 10
S3Kolbusovsky3Nemec7n = 10Nemec took 7 of 10
S4Kolbusovsky3Nemec6n = 9Nemec took 6 of 9
S5Kolbusovsky3Nemec3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolbusovskyNemecK − NBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.546.5−4.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolbusovskyNemecBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 454 vs 377 / 78147.6%48.3%216 / 454 vs 377 / 781Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NemecKolbusovsky 2.00/Nemec 1.70
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Nemec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolbusovsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 14:20M. Kolbusovsky—914116113M. Nemec—111241182
WSep 2 · 16:20M. Kolbusovsky—111158113M. Nemec—68111132
LJul 24 · 19:20M. Kolbusovsky—11551152M. Nemec—911118113
WJul 15 · 12:20M. Kolbusovsky—1171211113M. Nemec—91114732
LJul 14 · 12:20M. Kolbusovsky—54251192M. Nemec—1111236113
LJul 11 · 19:55M. Kolbusovsky—12147872M. Nemec—10121111113
LJul 9 · 21:20M. Kolbusovsky—1114471M. Nemec—71611113
LJul 9 · 20:50M. Kolbusovsky—91180M. Nemec—1113113
LJul 8 · 13:20M. Kolbusovsky—11127121M. Nemec—131011143
LJul 8 · 11:20M. Kolbusovsky—851171M. Nemec—11118113
M. Kolbusovsky10
WSep 4 · 16:20M. Kolbusovsky2.751181110113J. Rolik1.4071181282LSep 4 · 15:20M. Kolbusovsky4.3310390R. Zeman1.201211113WSep 4 · 14:20M. Kolbusovsky2.38914116113M. Nemec1.53111241182WSep 2 · 18:00M. Kolbusovsky1.93911511113P. Cibik1.7811811852WSep 2 · 16:20M. Kolbusovsky2.38111158113M. Nemec1.5368111132LSep 2 · 15:20M. Kolbusovsky3.5041151192M. Cesak1.28117118113WSep 2 · 14:20M. Kolbusovsky3.00741111123P. Cibik1.36111179102LAug 11 · 10:04M. Kolbusovsky2.251013781S. Matousch1.57121111113LAug 11 · 08:55M. Kolbusovsky3.251081181J. Vintr1.3312119113LAug 11 · 07:55M. Kolbusovsky2.5011271192O. Hula1.50511116113
M. Nemec10
LSep 6 · 13:24M. Nemec2.457960R. Zeman1.48111183LSep 6 · 12:50M. Nemec2.2051350P. Cibik1.611115113WSep 6 · 11:20R. Zeman1.40711871M. Nemec2.7511911113WSep 6 · 10:50Z. Vyskocil1.508990M. Nemec2.501111113LSep 4 · 16:50R. Zeman1.441111113M. Nemec2.638770LSep 4 · 15:50M. Nemec1.911171191J. Rolik1.8031113113LSep 4 · 14:20M. Kolbusovsky2.38914116113M. Nemec1.53111241182LSep 3 · 17:55J. Rolik1.801211113M. Nemec1.9010990WSep 3 · 16:50J. Brynych2.105117101M. Nemec1.6711911123LSep 2 · 16:20M. Kolbusovsky2.38111158113M. Nemec1.5368111132
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.