TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13055607
Played Aug 31Finished
Marek Dlask
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1171214411119811
Zdenek Dusek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:26 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeZdenek Dusek to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Dlask above · Zdenek Dusek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 98 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Zdenek Dusek at 62.5%
98 points played in total.
H2H Marek Dlask 2–8 Zdenek Dusek Marek Dlask has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:26What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Dlask
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-8 in 10
Dusek
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dlask 1489 vs Dusek 1345
Dlask
Wrong
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dlask 40% vs Dusek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dlask 30% vs Dusek 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dlask +1 · Dusek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Dlask) · live re-read · sealed at 38% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dlask form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDlask 1.60 / Dusek 2.20
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Dlask)+2.1pp
TT Cup · #13055607
Dlask1.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 37 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it74% 26 of 35
Dusek2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 63 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDlask2wins
AwayDusek8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDusek leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDlaskn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayDusek77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dlask1Dusek9n = 10Dusek took 9 of 10
S2Dlask5Dusek5n = 10split evenly
S3Dlask4Dusek6n = 10Dusek took 6 of 10
S4Dlask1Dusek7n = 8Dusek took 7 of 8
S5Dlask2Dusek1n = 3Dlask took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDlaskDusekDlask − DusekBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match31.739.9−8.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDlaskDusekBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 310 vs 197 / 48548.7%40.6%151 / 310 vs 197 / 485Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DlaskDlask 1.60/Dusek 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60%
Dlask · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dusek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 19:50M. Dlask—661161Z. Dusek—11119113
LDec 15 · 22:20M. Dlask—113551Z. Dusek—51111113
LDec 15 · 21:20M. Dlask—51411952Z. Dusek—1112711113
LDec 9 · 22:25M. Dlask—511561Z. Dusek—11511103
WDec 9 · 20:20M. Dlask—611911113Z. Dusek—11511672
WAug 14 · 21:50M. Dlask—311117113Z. Dusek—11781132
LAug 14 · 20:10M. Dlask—9111091Z. Dusek—11812113
LJul 9 · 18:50M. Dlask—8330Z. Dusek—1111113
LJun 25 · 21:20M. Dlask—7311101Z. Dusek—11118123
LJun 25 · 20:20M. Dlask—6390Z. Dusek—1111113
M. Dlask10
WAug 31 · 20:20S. Matousch1.6712991182M. Dlask2.101011113113LAug 31 · 19:50Z. Dusek1.5011119113M. Dlask2.50661161LAug 31 · 18:50M. Dlask3.001112541L. Vich1.3651411113WAug 26 · 21:20M. Dlask1.67119811113M. Nemec2.1091111972LAug 26 · 20:20M. Dlask1.5789100J. Rolik2.251111123LAug 26 · 19:20M. Dlask2.20261181R. Zeman1.6111118113WAug 26 · 18:20M. Dlask1.731111113M. Nemec2.009850LAug 25 · 21:25M. Dlask2.2061171182R. Zeman1.61118116113LAug 25 · 20:20J. Mach1.571111811113M. Dlask2.2599111342LAug 25 · 19:50M. Nemec2.0011139113M. Dlask1.736111171
Z. Dusek10
LAug 31 · 20:50L. Vich1.7311714113Z. Dusek2.009111241WAug 31 · 19:50Z. Dusek1.5011119113M. Dlask2.50661161LAug 31 · 18:20S. Matousch2.251111123Z. Dusek1.5736100WAug 27 · 21:28Z. Dusek2.2511135113T. Barsa1.578111171LAug 27 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.61821113113Z. Dusek2.20111161152WAug 27 · 19:50Z. Dusek2.38118411113T. Barsa1.5361111562LAug 27 · 18:20T. Jr1.331111153Z. Dusek3.2546130LAug 24 · 21:23T. Jr1.361111123Z. Dusek3.0067100LAug 24 · 20:50Z. Dusek2.2511117892T. Barsa1.57791111113LAug 24 · 19:20T. Jr1.3671111113Z. Dusek3.00117751
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