TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13017757
Played Aug 26Finished
Marek Dlask
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8119111012––––
Jakub Rolik
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:53 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeMarek Dlask to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMarek Dlask above · Jakub Rolik below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 61 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Marek Dlask at 62.9%
61 points played in total.
H2H Marek Dlask 32–16 Jakub Rolik Jakub Rolik has won 16 of their 48 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:53What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Dlask
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-16 in 48
Dlask
Wrong
gap of 16 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dlask 1496 vs Rolik 1355
Dlask
Wrong
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dlask 20% vs Rolik 80%
Rolik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dlask 50% vs Rolik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dlask -1 · Rolik +3
Rolik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Dlask)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rolik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDlask 1.57 / Rolik 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Dlask)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13017757
Dlask1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 38 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it74% 25 of 34
Rolik2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 87 of 215
Down 0–1, comes back26% 32 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back17% 12 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDlask9wins
AwayRolik1wins
5 of 10 to a deciderDlask leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDlask100%7 of 7
AwayRolik33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dlask7Rolik3n = 10Dlask took 7 of 10
S2Dlask8Rolik2n = 10Dlask took 8 of 10
S3Dlask7Rolik3n = 10Dlask took 7 of 10
S4Dlask3Rolik5n = 8Rolik took 5 of 8
S5Dlask4Rolik1n = 5Dlask took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDlaskRolikD − RBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match45.839.9+5.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDlaskRolikBasisWin rate · lifetime150 / 308 vs 299 / 62548.7%47.8%150 / 308 vs 299 / 625Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DlaskDlask 1.57/Rolik 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Dlask · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rolik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 19 · 20:20M. Dlask—111210113J. Rolik—9101291
WAug 18 · 18:50M. Dlask—911128113J. Rolik—119101152
WAug 10 · 21:20M. Dlask—111114133J. Rolik—91312111
WAug 10 · 18:50M. Dlask—911138113J. Rolik—118111182
WAug 3 · 21:23M. Dlask—111210143J. Rolik—81012121
WAug 3 · 20:20M. Dlask—119117113J. Rolik—41181162
WJul 29 · 20:20M. Dlask—1114911113J. Rolik—912111342
WJul 14 · 22:00M. Dlask—1111113J. Rolik—6860
WJul 14 · 20:20M. Dlask—1111113J. Rolik—9490
LJul 9 · 21:50M. Dlask—511111072J. Rolik—117512113
M. Dlask10
LAug 31 · 21:30M. Dlask1.60111241182Z. Dusek2.20714119113WAug 31 · 20:20S. Matousch1.6712991182M. Dlask2.101011113113LAug 31 · 19:50Z. Dusek1.5011119113M. Dlask2.50661161LAug 31 · 18:50M. Dlask3.001112541L. Vich1.3651411113WAug 26 · 21:20M. Dlask1.67119811113M. Nemec2.1091111972LAug 26 · 19:20M. Dlask2.20261181R. Zeman1.6111118113WAug 26 · 18:20M. Dlask1.731111113M. Nemec2.009850LAug 25 · 21:25M. Dlask2.2061171182R. Zeman1.61118116113LAug 25 · 20:20J. Mach1.571111811113M. Dlask2.2599111342LAug 25 · 19:50M. Nemec2.0011139113M. Dlask1.736111171
J. Rolik10
LSep 4 · 17:50R. Zeman1.711114113J. Rolik2.0061260LSep 4 · 16:20M. Kolbusovsky2.751181110113J. Rolik1.4071181282WSep 4 · 15:50M. Nemec1.911171191J. Rolik1.8031113113WSep 4 · 14:50J. Rolik2.20781111113R. Zeman1.6111114462WSep 3 · 17:55J. Rolik1.801211113M. Nemec1.9010990LSep 3 · 16:20J. Rolik1.571110110O. Sebek2.251312133WSep 3 · 15:20J. Rolik1.91711611113J. Brynych1.8011711982WSep 3 · 14:20J. Rolik1.731113512113M. Nemec2.00911111482WSep 1 · 13:30J. Rolik2.20811148123S. Matousch1.611171211102LSep 1 · 12:20P. Cibik1.50117611113J. Rolik2.5091111982
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