TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13094990
Played Sep 7Finished
Radek Zeman
Home
2.02
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711411––––
Pavel Cibik
Away
1.70
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingRadek Zeman above · Pavel Cibik below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 49 set 3, 4-11
49 points played in total.
H2H Radek Zeman 9–15 Pavel Cibik Radek Zeman has won 9 of their 24 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Zeman beat Cibik 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Cibik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cibik form (40%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 2.02 / Cibik 1.70
Signal prob.45% / 56%
Edge (Cibik)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13094990
Zeman2.02
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 31 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back19% 8 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Cibik1.70
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 64 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it74% 46 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeman5wins
AwayCibik5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZemann = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayCibik50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman2Cibik8n = 10Cibik took 8 of 10
S2Zeman4Cibik6n = 10Cibik took 6 of 10
S3Zeman4Cibik6n = 10Cibik took 6 of 10
S4Zeman6Cibik1n = 7Zeman took 6 of 7
S5Zeman3Cibik2n = 5Zeman took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZemanCibikZ − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match41.241.9−0.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanCibikBasisWin rate · lifetime324 / 615 vs 303 / 67452.7%45%324 / 615 vs 303 / 674Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CibikZeman 2.02/Cibik 1.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.5%
Cibik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Cibik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 20:20R. Zeman—871211143P. Cibik—1111103122
LSep 6 · 10:20R. Zeman—141380P. Cibik—1615113
LAug 30 · 21:24R. Zeman—10060P. Cibik—1211113
LAug 30 · 20:20R. Zeman—914812102P. Cibik—11121110123
WAug 13 · 22:25R. Zeman—4121111113P. Cibik—11146832
WAug 13 · 18:55R. Zeman—711611113P. Cibik—11711952
LAug 9 · 10:20R. Zeman—1111106102P. Cibik—451211123
LAug 5 · 18:20R. Zeman—14780P. Cibik—1611113
WAug 4 · 20:50R. Zeman—81212113P. Cibik—11101061
WJul 25 · 12:25R. Zeman—11712113P. Cibik—7111081
R. Zeman10
WSep 7 · 20:20P. Cibik1.611111103122R. Zeman2.20871211143LSep 7 · 19:50L. Vich1.611111113R. Zeman2.206640LSep 7 · 18:50R. Zeman2.7581070Z. Vyskocil1.401112113WSep 6 · 13:24M. Nemec2.457960R. Zeman1.48111183LSep 6 · 12:20R. Zeman2.1071260Z. Vyskocil1.671114113LSep 6 · 11:20R. Zeman1.40711871M. Nemec2.7511911113LSep 6 · 10:20R. Zeman2.10141380P. Cibik1.671615113WSep 4 · 17:50R. Zeman1.711114113J. Rolik2.0061260WSep 4 · 16:50R. Zeman1.441111113M. Nemec2.638770WSep 4 · 15:20M. Kolbusovsky4.3310390R. Zeman1.201211113
P. Cibik10
LSep 7 · 20:20P. Cibik1.611111103122R. Zeman2.20871211143LSep 7 · 19:20P. Cibik2.10811110Z. Vyskocil1.671113133WSep 7 · 18:20P. Cibik1.83113711113L. Vich1.8391111952LSep 6 · 13:53P. Cibik1.8091111682Z. Vyskocil1.91119711113WSep 6 · 12:50M. Nemec2.2051350P. Cibik1.611115113LSep 6 · 11:50P. Cibik2.1078110Z. Vyskocil1.671111133WSep 6 · 10:20R. Zeman2.10141380P. Cibik1.671615113WSep 3 · 13:33J. Vintr1.8371211101P. Cibik1.8311146123WSep 3 · 12:20S. Matousch1.57119371P. Cibik2.2581111113LSep 3 · 11:50T. Jr1.36121411113P. Cibik3.001016881
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