TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091053
Played Sep 7Finished
Pavel Cibik
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119311711119115
Lukas Vich
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Vich to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavel Cibik above · Lukas Vich below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 88 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Lukas Vich at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Cibik 32–38 Lukas Vich Pavel Cibik has won 32 of their 70 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:48What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Vich
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-38 in 70
Vich
Wrong
gap of 6 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cibik 1466 vs Vich 1509
Vich
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cibik 60% vs Vich 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cibik 50% vs Vich 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cibik -1 · Vich -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vich)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCibik 1.83 / Vich 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vich)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13091053
Cibik1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Vich1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCibik6wins
AwayVich4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderCibik leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCibik50%3 of 6
AwayVich25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cibik6Vich4n = 10Cibik took 6 of 10
S2Cibik5Vich5n = 10split evenly
S3Cibik6Vich4n = 10Cibik took 6 of 10
S4Cibik3Vich6n = 9Vich took 6 of 9
S5Cibik3Vich1n = 4Cibik took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricCibikVichC − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.538.7−1.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCibikVichBasisWin rate · lifetime302 / 671 vs 240 / 51845%46.3%302 / 671 vs 240 / 518Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VichCibik 1.83/Vich 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vich · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Cibik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 11 · 20:20P. Cibik—118461L. Vich—81111113
LAug 5 · 20:50P. Cibik—111481L. Vich—11511113
WAug 4 · 21:54P. Cibik—114118113L. Vich—91181152
WAug 4 · 18:20P. Cibik—51211113L. Vich—1110791
WJul 26 · 21:53P. Cibik—1111113L. Vich—5760
LJul 26 · 20:55P. Cibik—118115102L. Vich—811911123
WJul 17 · 18:20P. Cibik—116115113L. Vich—71151162
LJul 3 · 20:20P. Cibik—115841L. Vich—91111113
WJun 14 · 21:59P. Cibik—71111113L. Vich—119571
WJun 14 · 20:55P. Cibik—611911113L. Vich—11511892
P. Cibik10
LSep 7 · 19:20P. Cibik2.10811110Z. Vyskocil1.671113133LSep 6 · 13:53P. Cibik1.8091111682Z. Vyskocil1.91119711113WSep 6 · 12:50M. Nemec2.2051350P. Cibik1.611115113LSep 6 · 11:50P. Cibik2.1078110Z. Vyskocil1.671111133WSep 6 · 10:20R. Zeman2.10141380P. Cibik1.671615113WSep 3 · 13:33J. Vintr1.8371211101P. Cibik1.8311146123WSep 3 · 12:20S. Matousch1.57119371P. Cibik2.2581111113LSep 3 · 11:50T. Jr1.36121411113P. Cibik3.001016881LSep 3 · 10:50P. Cibik1.809860J. Vintr1.911111113LSep 2 · 18:00M. Kolbusovsky1.93911511113P. Cibik1.7811811852
L. Vich10
WSep 7 · 19:50L. Vich1.611111113R. Zeman2.206640LSep 6 · 22:35T. Rein1.921211113L. Vich1.7810540LSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113WSep 6 · 19:55T. Jr2.00811991L. Vich1.7311811113WSep 6 · 19:25Z. Vyskocil1.731110111162L. Vich2.00712913113WSep 2 · 22:03L. Vich1.671711123M. Juhasz2.10158100WSep 2 · 20:55L. Vich1.8311113113M. Juhasz1.83891181LSep 2 · 19:55L. Vich1.831151051Z. Vyskocil1.8391112113LSep 2 · 18:55L. Vich2.205380T. Barsa1.611111113LAug 31 · 22:00L. Vich1.67111011772S. Matousch2.07512911113
Upcoming Matches
P. Cibik
Nothing scheduled
L. Vich
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