TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12462569
Played Aug 19Finished
Christian Kratochvil
Home
3.15
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611711117119811
Tomas Barsa
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:30 and never touched — 80.8% is still 80.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Barsa to win
80.8%
80.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingChristian Kratochvil above · Tomas Barsa below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 92 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Barsa at 80.8%
92 points played in total.
H2H Christian Kratochvil 1–5 Tomas Barsa Christian Kratochvil has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:30What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (71%)
Barsa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Barsa
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kratochvil 1489 vs Barsa 1555
Barsa
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kratochvil 80% vs Barsa 60%
Kratochvil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kratochvil 60% vs Barsa 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kratochvil +3 · Barsa +2
Kratochvil
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Barsa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barsa form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKratochvil 3.15 / Barsa 1.30
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Barsa)+10.0pp
TT Cup · #12462569
Kratochvil3.15
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog50% won 14 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back25% 4 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Barsa1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite55% won 55 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it66% 36 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKratochvil1wins
AwayBarsa5wins
2 of 6 to a deciderBarsa leads 5–1, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKratochviln = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayBarsa100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kratochvil1Barsa5n = 6Barsa took 5 of 6
S2Kratochvil2Barsa4n = 6Barsa took 4 of 6
S3Kratochvil2Barsa4n = 6Barsa took 4 of 6
S4Kratochvil2Barsa1n = 3Kratochvil took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away350%
These 6 meetings
MetricKratochvilBarsaK − BBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match33.539.7−6.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKratochvilBarsaBasisWin rate · lifetime243 / 427 vs 85 / 15056.9%56.7%243 / 427 vs 85 / 150Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.040.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BarsaKratochvil 3.15/Barsa 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
80.8%
Barsa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Barsa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 19 · 22:35C. Kratochvil—67111182T. Barsa—111179113
WAug 19 · 19:25C. Kratochvil—111110133T. Barsa—9912111
LJul 31 · 19:25C. Kratochvil—9860T. Barsa—1111113
LJul 20 · 22:25C. Kratochvil—8660T. Barsa—1111113
LJul 20 · 20:25C. Kratochvil—9790T. Barsa—1111113
LJul 13 · 18:50C. Kratochvil—31114982T. Barsa—1141211113
C. Kratochvil10
WAug 31 · 22:25C. Kratochvil1.9012811123M. Juhasz1.8010119101WAug 31 · 21:25C. Kratochvil1.571111113Z. Vyskocil2.259950WAug 31 · 19:55M. Juhasz1.6111128141C. Kratochvil2.2051411163LAug 31 · 19:25T. Barsa1.80811118113C. Kratochvil1.9111781192WAug 19 · 20:55M. Zajicek1.61119115152C. Kratochvil2.20811911173WAug 19 · 20:25Z. Vyskocil2.25891171C. Kratochvil1.5711117113WAug 19 · 19:25C. Kratochvil2.20111110133T. Barsa1.619912111LJul 31 · 22:00C. Kratochvil1.67511681L. Vich2.1011711113WJul 31 · 21:25C. Kratochvil1.5741414133L. Vich2.25111212111WJul 31 · 19:55T. Jr2.0011991172C. Kratochvil1.73711119113
T. Barsa10
LSep 2 · 22:35T. Barsa1.48111281182Z. Vyskocil2.455101113113WSep 2 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil2.5091211672T. Barsa1.501110911113WSep 2 · 20:25T. Barsa1.7313119133M. Juhasz2.0011911111WSep 2 · 18:55L. Vich2.205380T. Barsa1.611111113WAug 31 · 21:53T. Barsa1.5011711113Z. Vyskocil2.50811581LAug 31 · 20:55M. Juhasz2.2011411113T. Barsa1.61611961WAug 31 · 20:25Z. Vyskocil2.3861111182T. Barsa1.53111128113WAug 31 · 19:25T. Barsa1.80811118113C. Kratochvil1.9111781192LAug 27 · 21:28Z. Dusek2.2511135113T. Barsa1.578111171LAug 19 · 19:25C. Kratochvil2.20111110133T. Barsa1.619912111
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