TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12342691
Played Jul 31Finished
Christian Kratochvil
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511117611811––
Lukas Vich
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:02 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeChristian Kratochvil to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingChristian Kratochvil above · Lukas Vich below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 70 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Christian Kratochvil at 58.7%
70 points played in total.
H2H Christian Kratochvil 5–4 Lukas Vich Lukas Vich has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:02What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kratochvil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kratochvil 1438 vs Vich 1428
Kratochvil
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kratochvil 60% vs Vich 40%
Kratochvil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kratochvil 40% vs Vich 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kratochvil +2 · Vich -3
Vich
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kratochvil)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKratochvil 1.67 / Vich 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kratochvil)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12342691
Kratochvil1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As favourite53% won 64 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it81% 48 of 59
Vich2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 62 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back25% 22 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back12% 6 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKratochvil5wins
AwayVich4wins
3 of 9 to a deciderKratochvil leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKratochvil75%3 of 4
AwayVich60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kratochvil4Vich5n = 9Vich took 5 of 9
S2Kratochvil6Vich3n = 9Kratochvil took 6 of 9
S3Kratochvil4Vich5n = 9Vich took 5 of 9
S4Kratochvil3Vich3n = 6split evenly
S5Kratochvil2Vich1n = 3Kratochvil took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricKratochvilVichK − VBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match38.638.4+0.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKratochvilVichBasisWin rate · lifetime240 / 425 vs 236 / 51956.5%45.5%240 / 425 vs 236 / 519Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KratochvilKratochvil 1.67/Vich 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.8%
Kratochvil · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vich won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJul 31 · 22:00C. Kratochvil—511681L. Vich—11711113
WJul 31 · 21:25C. Kratochvil—41414133L. Vich—111212111
LJul 1 · 18:55C. Kratochvil—1011781L. Vich—12811113
WMar 22 · 21:25C. Kratochvil—111188113L. Vich—79111142
LFeb 2 · 20:50C. Kratochvil—9880L. Vich—1111113
WJan 30 · 19:50C. Kratochvil—591111153L. Vich—111149142
LJan 26 · 20:20C. Kratochvil—11951192L. Vich—811119113
WDec 29 · 20:25C. Kratochvil—1111113L. Vich—9960
WDec 1 · 22:25C. Kratochvil—1111113L. Vich—6680
C. Kratochvil10
WAug 31 · 22:25C. Kratochvil1.9012811123M. Juhasz1.8010119101WAug 31 · 21:25C. Kratochvil1.571111113Z. Vyskocil2.259950WAug 31 · 19:55M. Juhasz1.6111128141C. Kratochvil2.2051411163LAug 31 · 19:25T. Barsa1.80811118113C. Kratochvil1.9111781192LAug 19 · 22:35C. Kratochvil3.1567111182T. Barsa1.30111179113WAug 19 · 20:55M. Zajicek1.61119115152C. Kratochvil2.20811911173WAug 19 · 20:25Z. Vyskocil2.25891171C. Kratochvil1.5711117113WAug 19 · 19:25C. Kratochvil2.20111110133T. Barsa1.619912111WJul 31 · 21:25C. Kratochvil1.5741414133L. Vich2.25111212111WJul 31 · 19:55T. Jr2.0011991172C. Kratochvil1.73711119113
L. Vich10
LSep 6 · 22:35T. Rein1.921211113L. Vich1.7810540LSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113WSep 6 · 19:55T. Jr2.00811991L. Vich1.7311811113WSep 6 · 19:25Z. Vyskocil1.731110111162L. Vich2.00712913113WSep 2 · 22:03L. Vich1.671711123M. Juhasz2.10158100WSep 2 · 20:55L. Vich1.8311113113M. Juhasz1.83891181LSep 2 · 19:55L. Vich1.831151051Z. Vyskocil1.8391112113LSep 2 · 18:55L. Vich2.205380T. Barsa1.611111113LAug 31 · 22:00L. Vich1.67111011772S. Matousch2.07512911113LJul 31 · 21:25C. Kratochvil1.5741414133L. Vich2.25111212111
Upcoming Matches
C. Kratochvil
Nothing scheduled
L. Vich1 of 2 neutral
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