TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12459759
Played Aug 19Finished
Zbynek Vyskocil
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811911117711––
Christian Kratochvil
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:19 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeChristian Kratochvil to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZbynek Vyskocil above · Christian Kratochvil below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 75 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Christian Kratochvil at 55.9%
75 points played in total.
H2H Zbynek Vyskocil 3–8 Christian Kratochvil Zbynek Vyskocil has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:19What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kratochvil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-8 in 11
Kratochvil
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vyskocil 1510 vs Kratochvil 1469
Vyskocil
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vyskocil 100% vs Kratochvil 60%
Vyskocil
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vyskocil 80% vs Kratochvil 40%
Vyskocil
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vyskocil +5 · Kratochvil +1
Vyskocil
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kratochvil) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vyskocil form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVyskocil 2.25 / Kratochvil 1.57
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kratochvil)-4.9pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #12459759
Vyskocil2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 54 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back27% 20 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 35
Kratochvil1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite54% won 64 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it83% 48 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVyskocil3wins
AwayKratochvil7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKratochvil leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVyskocil50%2 of 4
AwayKratochvil83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vyskocil4Kratochvil6n = 10Kratochvil took 6 of 10
S2Vyskocil5Kratochvil5n = 10split evenly
S3Vyskocil4Kratochvil6n = 10Kratochvil took 6 of 10
S4Vyskocil4Kratochvil5n = 9Kratochvil took 5 of 9
S5Vyskocil2Kratochvil4n = 6Kratochvil took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVyskocilKratochvilV − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.044.3−1.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVyskocilKratochvilBasisWin rate · lifetime298 / 611 vs 241 / 42448.8%56.8%298 / 611 vs 241 / 424Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KratochvilVyskocil 2.25/Kratochvil 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kratochvil · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kratochvil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 20 · 18:55Z. Vyskocil—10950C. Kratochvil—1211113
WJul 13 · 22:00Z. Vyskocil—11118113C. Kratochvil—981191
LJul 13 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil—91111582C. Kratochvil—117911113
LJul 1 · 20:25Z. Vyskocil—511111182C. Kratochvil—115713113
LMar 25 · 19:50Z. Vyskocil—8111211102C. Kratochvil—118144123
WMar 22 · 23:28Z. Vyskocil—871112113C. Kratochvil—111181092
LMar 22 · 21:55Z. Vyskocil—5101181C. Kratochvil—11124113
LFeb 2 · 22:30Z. Vyskocil—117981C. Kratochvil—71111113
LFeb 2 · 21:50Z. Vyskocil—12119782C. Kratochvil—1091111113
WJan 26 · 19:50Z. Vyskocil—11121011143C. Kratochvil—514125122
Z. Vyskocil10
LSep 6 · 22:04Z. Vyskocil1.6711111010112T. Jr2.10371212133WSep 6 · 20:55T. Jr1.73116771Z. Vyskocil2.0081111113WSep 6 · 20:25T. Rein1.40119121192Z. Vyskocil2.75311143113LSep 6 · 19:25Z. Vyskocil1.731110111162L. Vich2.00712913113WSep 6 · 13:53P. Cibik1.8091111682Z. Vyskocil1.91119711113WSep 6 · 12:20R. Zeman2.1071260Z. Vyskocil1.671114113WSep 6 · 11:50P. Cibik2.1078110Z. Vyskocil1.671111133LSep 6 · 10:50Z. Vyskocil1.508990M. Nemec2.501111113WSep 2 · 22:35T. Barsa1.48111281182Z. Vyskocil2.455101113113LSep 2 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil2.5091211672T. Barsa1.501110911113
C. Kratochvil10
WAug 31 · 22:25C. Kratochvil1.9012811123M. Juhasz1.8010119101WAug 31 · 21:25C. Kratochvil1.571111113Z. Vyskocil2.259950WAug 31 · 19:55M. Juhasz1.6111128141C. Kratochvil2.2051411163LAug 31 · 19:25T. Barsa1.80811118113C. Kratochvil1.9111781192LAug 19 · 22:35C. Kratochvil3.1567111182T. Barsa1.30111179113WAug 19 · 20:55M. Zajicek1.61119115152C. Kratochvil2.20811911173WAug 19 · 19:25C. Kratochvil2.20111110133T. Barsa1.619912111LJul 31 · 22:00C. Kratochvil1.67511681L. Vich2.1011711113WJul 31 · 21:25C. Kratochvil1.5741414133L. Vich2.25111212111WJul 31 · 19:55T. Jr2.0011991172C. Kratochvil1.73711119113
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