TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12338884
Played Jul 31Finished
Christian Kratochvil
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
411141214121311––
Lukas Vich
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:33 and never touched — 59.9% is still 59.9%
Graded at full timeChristian Kratochvil to win
59.9%
59.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingChristian Kratochvil above · Lukas Vich below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 91 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Christian Kratochvil at 59.9%
91 points played in total.
H2H Christian Kratochvil 4–3 Lukas Vich Lukas Vich has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:33What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kratochvil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kratochvil 1442 vs Vich 1424
Kratochvil
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kratochvil 40% vs Vich 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kratochvil 30% vs Vich 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kratochvil +1 · Vich -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kratochvil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kratochvil form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKratochvil 1.57 / Vich 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Kratochvil)+1.0pp
TT Cup · #12338884
Kratochvil1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As favourite53% won 64 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it81% 48 of 59
Vich2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 62 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back25% 22 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back12% 6 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKratochvil4wins
AwayVich3wins
3 of 7 to a deciderKratochvil leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKratochvil75%3 of 4
AwayVich66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kratochvil4Vich3n = 7Kratochvil took 4 of 7
S2Kratochvil4Vich3n = 7Kratochvil took 4 of 7
S3Kratochvil3Vich4n = 7Vich took 4 of 7
S4Kratochvil2Vich2n = 4split evenly
S5Kratochvil2Vich1n = 3Kratochvil took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricKratochvilVichK − VBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match38.937.1+1.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKratochvilVichBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 423 vs 235 / 51756.5%45.5%239 / 423 vs 235 / 517Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KratochvilKratochvil 1.57/Vich 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.9%
Kratochvil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kratochvil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LJul 1 · 18:55C. Kratochvil—1011781L. Vich—12811113
WMar 22 · 21:25C. Kratochvil—111188113L. Vich—79111142
LFeb 2 · 20:50C. Kratochvil—9880L. Vich—1111113
WJan 30 · 19:50C. Kratochvil—591111153L. Vich—111149142
LJan 26 · 20:20C. Kratochvil—11951192L. Vich—811119113
WDec 29 · 20:25C. Kratochvil—1111113L. Vich—9960
WDec 1 · 22:25C. Kratochvil—1111113L. Vich—6680
C. Kratochvil10
WAug 31 · 22:25C. Kratochvil1.9012811123M. Juhasz1.8010119101WAug 31 · 21:25C. Kratochvil1.571111113Z. Vyskocil2.259950WAug 31 · 19:55M. Juhasz1.6111128141C. Kratochvil2.2051411163LAug 31 · 19:25T. Barsa1.80811118113C. Kratochvil1.9111781192LAug 19 · 22:35C. Kratochvil3.1567111182T. Barsa1.30111179113WAug 19 · 20:55M. Zajicek1.61119115152C. Kratochvil2.20811911173WAug 19 · 20:25Z. Vyskocil2.25891171C. Kratochvil1.5711117113WAug 19 · 19:25C. Kratochvil2.20111110133T. Barsa1.619912111LJul 31 · 22:00C. Kratochvil1.67511681L. Vich2.1011711113WJul 31 · 19:55T. Jr2.0011991172C. Kratochvil1.73711119113
L. Vich10
LSep 6 · 22:35T. Rein1.921211113L. Vich1.7810540LSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113WSep 6 · 19:55T. Jr2.00811991L. Vich1.7311811113WSep 6 · 19:25Z. Vyskocil1.731110111162L. Vich2.00712913113WSep 2 · 22:03L. Vich1.671711123M. Juhasz2.10158100WSep 2 · 20:55L. Vich1.8311113113M. Juhasz1.83891181LSep 2 · 19:55L. Vich1.831151051Z. Vyskocil1.8391112113LSep 2 · 18:55L. Vich2.205380T. Barsa1.611111113LAug 31 · 22:00L. Vich1.67111011772S. Matousch2.07512911113WJul 31 · 22:00C. Kratochvil1.67511681L. Vich2.1011711113
Upcoming Matches
C. Kratochvil
Nothing scheduled
L. Vich1 of 1 neutral
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