TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12441031
Played Aug 16Finished
Jaroslav Brynych
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
111711911––––
Radek Zeman
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 76.3% is still 76.3%
Graded at full timeRadek Zeman to win
76.3%
76.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Brynych above · Radek Zeman below
Set 1 · 1-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 50 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Radek Zeman at 76.3%
50 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Brynych 6–12 Radek Zeman Jaroslav Brynych has won 6 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Zeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-12 in 18
Zeman
Correct
gap of 6 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brynych 1406 vs Zeman 1514
Zeman
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brynych 20% vs Zeman 60%
Zeman
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brynych 30% vs Zeman 60%
Zeman
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brynych +1 · Zeman +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Zeman) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeman form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrynych 3.00 / Zeman 1.36
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Zeman)+10.0pp
TT Cup · #12441031
Brynych3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog27% won 11 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back18% 5 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back17% 3 of 18
Zeman1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 115 of 176
Up 2–0, closes it90% 68 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it77% 87 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrynych4wins
AwayZeman6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZeman leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrynych66.7%2 of 3
AwayZeman71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brynych3Zeman7n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S2Brynych3Zeman7n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S3Brynych2Zeman8n = 10Zeman took 8 of 10
S4Brynych3Zeman3n = 6split evenly
S5Brynych3Zeman0n = 3Brynych took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrynychZemanB − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.639.3−6.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrynychZemanBasisWin rate · lifetime46 / 108 vs 330 / 62442.6%52.9%46 / 108 vs 330 / 624Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanBrynych 3.00/Zeman 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.8%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 9 · 13:24J. Brynych—511714113R. Zeman—118111282
WAug 9 · 12:20J. Brynych—111413113R. Zeman—5121591
LJul 26 · 10:20J. Brynych—6440R. Zeman—1111113
LJul 6 · 13:25J. Brynych—4860R. Zeman—1111113
LJul 6 · 12:20J. Brynych—115741R. Zeman—91111113
WJul 5 · 09:55J. Brynych—116125113R. Zeman—711101172
WJul 5 · 08:50J. Brynych—1051111113R. Zeman—12112692
LJul 3 · 18:05J. Brynych—8770R. Zeman—1111113
LJul 3 · 14:50J. Brynych—510110R. Zeman—1112133
LApr 5 · 11:50J. Brynych—711831R. Zeman—11611113
J. Brynych10
LSep 3 · 17:25J. Brynych1.2811681172O. Sebek3.50611117113LSep 3 · 16:50J. Brynych2.105117101M. Nemec1.6711911123LSep 3 · 15:20J. Rolik1.91711611113J. Brynych1.8011711982WSep 3 · 14:50O. Sebek3.2511640J. Brynych1.331311113WAug 28 · 13:23J. Brynych1.5013117183O. Sebek2.5011411161WAug 28 · 12:20O. Sebek2.63411461J. Brynych1.4411711113LAug 28 · 11:50J. Rolik1.911111113J. Brynych1.808440LAug 28 · 10:50J. Brynych2.20711111162F. Musil1.61111348113WAug 16 · 13:20J. Brynych2.20911125113M. Nemec1.61119101162WAug 16 · 11:20J. Brynych2.381191011123M. Nemec1.53811126102
R. Zeman10
WSep 6 · 13:24M. Nemec2.457960R. Zeman1.48111183LSep 6 · 12:20R. Zeman2.1071260Z. Vyskocil1.671114113LSep 6 · 11:20R. Zeman1.40711871M. Nemec2.7511911113LSep 6 · 10:20R. Zeman2.10141380P. Cibik1.671615113WSep 4 · 17:50R. Zeman1.711114113J. Rolik2.0061260WSep 4 · 16:50R. Zeman1.441111113M. Nemec2.638770WSep 4 · 15:20M. Kolbusovsky4.3310390R. Zeman1.201211113LSep 4 · 14:50J. Rolik2.20781111113R. Zeman1.6111114462LAug 30 · 21:24P. Cibik1.731211113R. Zeman2.0010060LAug 30 · 20:20P. Cibik1.7311121110123R. Zeman2.00914812102
Upcoming Matches
J. Brynych
Nothing scheduled
R. Zeman
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.