TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13071384
Played Sep 3Finished
Ondrej Sebek
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113611411––––
Jaroslav Brynych
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:42 and never touched — 70.9% is still 70.9%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Brynych to win
70.9%
70.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Sebek above · Jaroslav Brynych below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 56 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Jaroslav Brynych at 70.9%
56 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Sebek 0–4 Jaroslav Brynych Ondrej Sebek has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:42What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Brynych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Brynych
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sebek 1243 vs Brynych 1403
Brynych
Correct
both rated, 160 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sebek 0% vs Brynych 60%
Brynych
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sebek 20% vs Brynych 40%
Brynych
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sebek -5 · Brynych +2
Sebek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Brynych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brynych form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSebek 3.25 / Brynych 1.33
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Brynych)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #13071384
Sebek3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 18 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back14% 5 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Brynych1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 16 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSebek0wins
AwayBrynych4wins
1 of 4 to a deciderBrynych leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSebekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayBrynych100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sebek1Brynych3n = 4Brynych took 3 of 4
S2Sebek1Brynych3n = 4Brynych took 3 of 4
S3Sebek1Brynych3n = 4Brynych took 3 of 4
S4Sebek1Brynych2n = 3Brynych took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricSebekBrynychS − BBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match33.042.5−9.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSebekBrynychBasisWin rate · lifetime188 / 380 vs 47 / 11049.5%42.7%188 / 380 vs 47 / 110Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrynychSebek 3.25/Brynych 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.9%
Brynych · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Brynych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 28 · 13:23O. Sebek—11411161J. Brynych—13117183
LAug 28 · 12:20O. Sebek—411461J. Brynych—11711113
LMar 6 · 18:55O. Sebek—11681172J. Brynych—911116113
LMar 6 · 16:50O. Sebek—8950J. Brynych—1111113
O. Sebek10
WSep 3 · 17:25J. Brynych1.2811681172O. Sebek3.50611117113WSep 3 · 16:20J. Rolik1.571110110O. Sebek2.251312133LSep 3 · 15:50M. Nemec1.3311118113O. Sebek3.25871191LAug 28 · 13:23J. Brynych1.5013117183O. Sebek2.5011411161LAug 28 · 12:20O. Sebek2.63411461J. Brynych1.4411711113LAug 28 · 11:20O. Sebek2.256870F. Musil1.571111113LAug 28 · 10:20O. Sebek2.2081111352J. Rolik1.61119911113LAug 24 · 13:59M. Nemec1.53911711113O. Sebek2.3811511932WAug 24 · 12:20J. Rolik1.57810131192O. Sebek2.251112114113LAug 24 · 11:50M. Nemec1.33111012113O. Sebek3.256121051
J. Brynych10
LSep 3 · 17:25J. Brynych1.2811681172O. Sebek3.50611117113LSep 3 · 16:50J. Brynych2.105117101M. Nemec1.6711911123LSep 3 · 15:20J. Rolik1.91711611113J. Brynych1.8011711982WAug 28 · 13:23J. Brynych1.5013117183O. Sebek2.5011411161WAug 28 · 12:20O. Sebek2.63411461J. Brynych1.4411711113LAug 28 · 11:50J. Rolik1.911111113J. Brynych1.808440LAug 28 · 10:50J. Brynych2.20711111162F. Musil1.61111348113WAug 16 · 13:20J. Brynych2.20911125113M. Nemec1.61119101162LAug 16 · 12:20J. Brynych3.001790R. Zeman1.361111113WAug 16 · 11:20J. Brynych2.381191011123M. Nemec1.53811126102
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