TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13036048
Played Aug 28Finished
Jaroslav Brynych
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
13111147111816––
Ondrej Sebek
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingJaroslav Brynych above · Ondrej Sebek below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 18-16
Point 91 set 4, 18-16
91 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Brynych 3–0 Ondrej Sebek Ondrej Sebek has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Brynych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sebek form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrynych 1.50 / Sebek 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Brynych)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13036048
Brynych1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 16 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Sebek2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 20 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back14% 5 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBrynych3wins
AwaySebek0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderBrynych leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brynych2Sebek1n = 3Brynych took 2 of 3
S2Brynych2Sebek1n = 3Brynych took 2 of 3
S3Brynych3Sebek0n = 3Brynych took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBrynychSebekB − SBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match40.330.0+10.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrynychSebekBasisWin rate · lifetime48 / 113 vs 188 / 37942.5%49.6%48 / 113 vs 188 / 379Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrynychBrynych 1.50/Sebek 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Brynych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Brynych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 28 · 12:20J. Brynych—11711113O. Sebek—411461
WMar 6 · 18:55J. Brynych—911116113O. Sebek—11681172
WMar 6 · 16:50J. Brynych—1111113O. Sebek—8950
J. Brynych10
LSep 3 · 17:25J. Brynych1.2811681172O. Sebek3.50611117113LSep 3 · 16:50J. Brynych2.105117101M. Nemec1.6711911123LSep 3 · 15:20J. Rolik1.91711611113J. Brynych1.8011711982WSep 3 · 14:50O. Sebek3.2511640J. Brynych1.331311113WAug 28 · 12:20O. Sebek2.63411461J. Brynych1.4411711113LAug 28 · 11:50J. Rolik1.911111113J. Brynych1.808440LAug 28 · 10:50J. Brynych2.20711111162F. Musil1.61111348113WAug 16 · 13:20J. Brynych2.20911125113M. Nemec1.61119101162LAug 16 · 12:20J. Brynych3.001790R. Zeman1.361111113WAug 16 · 11:20J. Brynych2.381191011123M. Nemec1.53811126102
O. Sebek10
WSep 3 · 17:25J. Brynych1.2811681172O. Sebek3.50611117113WSep 3 · 16:20J. Rolik1.571110110O. Sebek2.251312133LSep 3 · 15:50M. Nemec1.3311118113O. Sebek3.25871191LSep 3 · 14:50O. Sebek3.2511640J. Brynych1.331311113LAug 28 · 12:20O. Sebek2.63411461J. Brynych1.4411711113LAug 28 · 11:20O. Sebek2.256870F. Musil1.571111113LAug 28 · 10:20O. Sebek2.2081111352J. Rolik1.61119911113LAug 24 · 13:59M. Nemec1.53911711113O. Sebek2.3811511932WAug 24 · 12:20J. Rolik1.57810131192O. Sebek2.251112114113LAug 24 · 11:50M. Nemec1.33111012113O. Sebek3.256121051
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