TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12262979
Played Jul 19Finished
Michal Nemec
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117117––––
Lukas Pour
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMichal Nemec above · Lukas Pour below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 56 set 3, 11-7
56 points played in total.
H2H Michal Nemec 12–14 Lukas Pour Michal Nemec has won 12 of their 26 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pour)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pour form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNemec 1.91 / Pour 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pour)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #12262979
Nemec1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 68 of 183
Down 0–1, comes back21% 22 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 61
Pour1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite46% won 25 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it72% 23 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNemec7wins
AwayPour3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderNemec leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNemec83.3%5 of 6
AwayPour50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nemec6Pour4n = 10Nemec took 6 of 10
S2Nemec5Pour5n = 10split evenly
S3Nemec4Pour6n = 10Pour took 6 of 10
S4Nemec4Pour5n = 9Pour took 5 of 9
S5Nemec4Pour0n = 4Nemec took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNemecPourN − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.440.9+0.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNemecPourBasisWin rate · lifetime413 / 789 vs 68 / 15352.3%44.4%413 / 789 vs 68 / 153Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PourNemec 1.91/Pour 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pour · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Nemec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 10 · 07:50M. Nemec—1713311113L. Pour—151511792
WApr 23 · 15:50M. Nemec—111193113L. Pour—47111182
WApr 4 · 14:35M. Nemec—11113113L. Pour—881161
LApr 4 · 11:55M. Nemec—5940L. Pour—1111113
WMar 29 · 11:55M. Nemec—12711113L. Pour—1011881
WMar 22 · 10:55M. Nemec—6131111113L. Pour—111181362
LMar 22 · 08:20M. Nemec—131111111L. Pour—15213133
WFeb 16 · 14:30M. Nemec—1110123113L. Pour—112101162
LFeb 16 · 11:20M. Nemec—1149101L. Pour—91111123
WJan 26 · 11:20M. Nemec—71111113L. Pour—117691
M. Nemec10
LSep 6 · 13:24M. Nemec2.457960R. Zeman1.48111183LSep 6 · 12:50M. Nemec2.2051350P. Cibik1.611115113WSep 6 · 11:20R. Zeman1.40711871M. Nemec2.7511911113WSep 6 · 10:50Z. Vyskocil1.508990M. Nemec2.501111113LSep 4 · 17:25M. Kolbusovsky2.0013117113M. Nemec1.701161171LSep 4 · 16:50R. Zeman1.441111113M. Nemec2.638770LSep 4 · 15:50M. Nemec1.911171191J. Rolik1.8031113113LSep 4 · 14:20M. Kolbusovsky2.38914116113M. Nemec1.53111241182LSep 3 · 17:55J. Rolik1.801211113M. Nemec1.9010990WSep 3 · 16:50J. Brynych2.105117101M. Nemec1.6711911123
L. Pour10
WAug 2 · 13:28L. Pour2.3812118113J. Rolik1.531061121WAug 2 · 12:20L. Pour1.831412116113J. Rolik1.83161091182LAug 2 · 11:20L. Pour3.0011301182R. Zeman1.36911118113LAug 2 · 10:20L. Pour1.8396111162M. Nemec1.83111153113LJul 26 · 13:26J. Brynych1.601211113L. Pour2.2010650LJul 26 · 12:20J. Brynych1.4412115113L. Pour2.631081181LJul 26 · 11:50R. Zeman1.4071211113L. Pour2.751110971LJul 26 · 10:50L. Pour1.80311581M. Nemec1.9111511113WJul 19 · 13:23L. Pour1.911111113J. Rolik1.807480WJul 19 · 12:20J. Rolik1.80711691L. Pour1.9111911113
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