TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12265660
Played Jul 19Finished
Lukas Pour
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117114118––––
Jakub Rolik
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingLukas Pour above · Jakub Rolik below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 52 set 3, 11-8
52 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Pour 23–19 Jakub Rolik Jakub Rolik has won 19 of their 42 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rolik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rolik form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPour 1.91 / Rolik 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rolik)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #12265660
Pour1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 14 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back16% 4 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Rolik1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 82 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it98% 39 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it78% 53 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePour6wins
AwayRolik4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPour leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePour83.3%5 of 6
AwayRolik75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pour6Rolik4n = 10Pour took 6 of 10
S2Pour6Rolik4n = 10Pour took 6 of 10
S3Pour6Rolik4n = 10Pour took 6 of 10
S4Pour7Rolik3n = 10Pour took 7 of 10
S5Pour1Rolik4n = 5Rolik took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPourRolikP − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match44.441.1+3.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPourRolikBasisWin rate · lifetime69 / 155 vs 286 / 58944.5%48.6%69 / 155 vs 286 / 589Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RolikPour 1.91/Rolik 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Rolik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pour won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 19 · 12:20L. Pour—11911113J. Rolik—711691
WJun 20 · 12:25L. Pour—11119113J. Rolik—791161
LJun 14 · 07:50L. Pour—11715972J. Rolik—5111311113
LApr 23 · 17:35L. Pour—31114842J. Rolik—1171211113
LApr 23 · 16:20L. Pour—111191192J. Rolik—139117113
WApr 4 · 12:55L. Pour—11911113J. Rolik—911661
WMar 6 · 14:55L. Pour—91111113J. Rolik—115661
LMar 6 · 13:50L. Pour—121111592J. Rolik—148511113
WFeb 27 · 22:20L. Pour—11119113J. Rolik—991191
WFeb 27 · 19:50L. Pour—117511123J. Rolik—611116102
L. Pour10
WAug 2 · 13:28L. Pour2.3812118113J. Rolik1.531061121WAug 2 · 12:20L. Pour1.831412116113J. Rolik1.83161091182LAug 2 · 11:20L. Pour3.0011301182R. Zeman1.36911118113LAug 2 · 10:20L. Pour1.8396111162M. Nemec1.83111153113LJul 26 · 13:26J. Brynych1.601211113L. Pour2.2010650LJul 26 · 12:20J. Brynych1.4412115113L. Pour2.631081181LJul 26 · 11:50R. Zeman1.4071211113L. Pour2.751110971LJul 26 · 10:50L. Pour1.80311581M. Nemec1.9111511113WJul 19 · 12:20J. Rolik1.80711691L. Pour1.9111911113LJul 19 · 11:50M. Nemec1.911111113L. Pour1.809770
J. Rolik10
LSep 4 · 17:50R. Zeman1.711114113J. Rolik2.0061260LSep 4 · 16:20M. Kolbusovsky2.751181110113J. Rolik1.4071181282WSep 4 · 15:50M. Nemec1.911171191J. Rolik1.8031113113WSep 4 · 14:50J. Rolik2.20781111113R. Zeman1.6111114462WSep 3 · 17:55J. Rolik1.801211113M. Nemec1.9010990LSep 3 · 16:20J. Rolik1.571110110O. Sebek2.251312133WSep 3 · 15:20J. Rolik1.91711611113J. Brynych1.8011711982LAug 2 · 13:28L. Pour2.3812118113J. Rolik1.531061121LAug 2 · 12:20L. Pour1.831412116113J. Rolik1.83161091182LJul 19 · 12:20J. Rolik1.80711691L. Pour1.9111911113
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