TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12351297
Played Aug 2Finished
Lukas Pour
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210116811112––
Jakub Rolik
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingLukas Pour above · Jakub Rolik below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 71 set 4, 11-2
71 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Pour 25–19 Jakub Rolik Jakub Rolik has won 19 of their 44 meetings.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Rolik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rolik form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPour 2.38 / Rolik 1.53
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Rolik)-1.0pp
TT Cup · #12351297
Pour2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 14 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back15% 4 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Rolik1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 88 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it98% 41 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it80% 56 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePour6wins
AwayRolik4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPour leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePour80%4 of 5
AwayRolik60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pour5Rolik5n = 10split evenly
S2Pour7Rolik3n = 10Pour took 7 of 10
S3Pour8Rolik2n = 10Pour took 8 of 10
S4Pour5Rolik4n = 9Pour took 5 of 9
S5Pour1Rolik4n = 5Rolik took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPourRolikP − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.340.2+4.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPourRolikBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 155 vs 293 / 60443.9%48.5%68 / 155 vs 293 / 604Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.239.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RolikPour 2.38/Rolik 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.8%
Rolik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pour won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 2 · 12:20L. Pour—1412116113J. Rolik—161091182
WJul 19 · 13:23L. Pour—1111113J. Rolik—7480
WJul 19 · 12:20L. Pour—11911113J. Rolik—711691
WJun 20 · 12:25L. Pour—11119113J. Rolik—791161
LJun 14 · 07:50L. Pour—11715972J. Rolik—5111311113
LApr 23 · 17:35L. Pour—31114842J. Rolik—1171211113
LApr 23 · 16:20L. Pour—111191192J. Rolik—139117113
WApr 4 · 12:55L. Pour—11911113J. Rolik—911661
WMar 6 · 14:55L. Pour—91111113J. Rolik—115661
LMar 6 · 13:50L. Pour—121111592J. Rolik—148511113
L. Pour10
WAug 2 · 12:20L. Pour1.831412116113J. Rolik1.83161091182LAug 2 · 11:20L. Pour3.0011301182R. Zeman1.36911118113LAug 2 · 10:20L. Pour1.8396111162M. Nemec1.83111153113LJul 26 · 13:26J. Brynych1.601211113L. Pour2.2010650LJul 26 · 12:20J. Brynych1.4412115113L. Pour2.631081181LJul 26 · 11:50R. Zeman1.4071211113L. Pour2.751110971LJul 26 · 10:50L. Pour1.80311581M. Nemec1.9111511113WJul 19 · 13:23L. Pour1.911111113J. Rolik1.807480WJul 19 · 12:20J. Rolik1.80711691L. Pour1.9111911113LJul 19 · 11:50M. Nemec1.911111113L. Pour1.809770
J. Rolik10
LSep 4 · 17:50R. Zeman1.711114113J. Rolik2.0061260LSep 4 · 16:20M. Kolbusovsky2.751181110113J. Rolik1.4071181282WSep 4 · 15:50M. Nemec1.911171191J. Rolik1.8031113113WSep 4 · 14:50J. Rolik2.20781111113R. Zeman1.6111114462WSep 3 · 17:55J. Rolik1.801211113M. Nemec1.9010990LSep 3 · 16:20J. Rolik1.571110110O. Sebek2.251312133WSep 3 · 15:20J. Rolik1.91711611113J. Brynych1.8011711982LAug 2 · 12:20L. Pour1.831412116113J. Rolik1.83161091182LJul 19 · 13:23L. Pour1.911111113J. Rolik1.807480LJul 19 · 12:20J. Rolik1.80711691L. Pour1.9111911113
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