TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12304646
Played Jul 26Finished
Jaroslav Brynych
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210118511118––
Lukas Pour
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:10 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Brynych to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Brynych above · Lukas Pour below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 76 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Jaroslav Brynych at 67.5%
76 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Brynych 7–2 Lukas Pour Lukas Pour has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:10What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Brynych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Brynych
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brynych 1376 vs Pour 1317
Brynych
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brynych 20% vs Pour 40%
Pour
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brynych 30% vs Pour 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Brynych -3 · Pour -2
Brynych
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Brynych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brynych form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrynych 1.44 / Pour 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 33%
Edge (Brynych)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12304646
Brynych1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 15 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it83% 10 of 12
Pour2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 14 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeBrynych7wins
AwayPour2wins
2 of 9 to a deciderBrynych leads 7–2, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrynych80%4 of 5
AwayPour25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brynych5Pour4n = 9Brynych took 5 of 9
S2Brynych5Pour4n = 9Brynych took 5 of 9
S3Brynych6Pour3n = 9Brynych took 6 of 9
S4Brynych4Pour3n = 7Brynych took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home444%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricBrynychPourB − PBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match41.136.4+4.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrynychPourBasisWin rate · lifetime41 / 96 vs 69 / 15442.7%44.8%41 / 96 vs 69 / 154Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrynychBrynych 1.44/Pour 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.5%
Brynych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Brynych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WJul 19 · 10:50J. Brynych—1311113L. Pour—11750
WJun 20 · 14:03J. Brynych—81111143L. Pour—1166121
WJun 20 · 12:55J. Brynych—1011116133L. Pour—123711112
WApr 5 · 13:24J. Brynych—111110113L. Pour—881251
WApr 5 · 12:20J. Brynych—111311113L. Pour—815691
WMar 21 · 16:25J. Brynych—115117113L. Pour—91181182
LMar 14 · 14:55J. Brynych—11101281L. Pour—41214113
WMar 14 · 12:25J. Brynych—91111113L. Pour—118871
LMar 6 · 15:50J. Brynych—9590L. Pour—1111113
J. Brynych10
LSep 3 · 17:25J. Brynych1.2811681172O. Sebek3.50611117113LSep 3 · 16:50J. Brynych2.105117101M. Nemec1.6711911123LSep 3 · 15:20J. Rolik1.91711611113J. Brynych1.8011711982WSep 3 · 14:50O. Sebek3.2511640J. Brynych1.331311113WAug 28 · 13:23J. Brynych1.5013117183O. Sebek2.5011411161WAug 28 · 12:20O. Sebek2.63411461J. Brynych1.4411711113LAug 28 · 11:50J. Rolik1.911111113J. Brynych1.808440LAug 28 · 10:50J. Brynych2.20711111162F. Musil1.61111348113WAug 16 · 13:20J. Brynych2.20911125113M. Nemec1.61119101162LAug 16 · 12:20J. Brynych3.001790R. Zeman1.361111113
L. Pour10
WAug 2 · 13:28L. Pour2.3812118113J. Rolik1.531061121WAug 2 · 12:20L. Pour1.831412116113J. Rolik1.83161091182LAug 2 · 11:20L. Pour3.0011301182R. Zeman1.36911118113LAug 2 · 10:20L. Pour1.8396111162M. Nemec1.83111153113LJul 26 · 13:26J. Brynych1.601211113L. Pour2.2010650LJul 26 · 11:50R. Zeman1.4071211113L. Pour2.751110971LJul 26 · 10:50L. Pour1.80311581M. Nemec1.9111511113WJul 19 · 13:23L. Pour1.911111113J. Rolik1.807480WJul 19 · 12:20J. Rolik1.80711691L. Pour1.9111911113LJul 19 · 11:50M. Nemec1.911111113L. Pour1.809770
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