TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12304638
Played Jul 26Finished
Radek Zeman
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111210119117––
Lukas Pour
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:11 and never touched — 69.3% is still 69.3%
Graded at full timeRadek Zeman to win
69.3%
69.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Zeman above · Lukas Pour below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 78 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Radek Zeman at 69.3%
78 points played in total.
H2H Radek Zeman 16–8 Lukas Pour Lukas Pour has won 8 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:11What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Zeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-8 in 24
Zeman
Correct
gap of 8 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeman 1493 vs Pour 1317
Zeman
Correct
both rated, 176 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeman 60% vs Pour 40%
Zeman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeman 80% vs Pour 30%
Zeman
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeman +1 · Pour -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Zeman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeman form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 1.40 / Pour 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Zeman)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12304638
Zeman1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite65% won 112 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it88% 67 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it78% 85 of 109
Pour2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 14 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeman6wins
AwayPour4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZeman leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeman71.4%5 of 7
AwayPour66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman7Pour3n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S2Zeman5Pour5n = 10split evenly
S3Zeman7Pour3n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S4Zeman3Pour1n = 4Zeman took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZemanPourZ − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.033.3+1.7per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanPourBasisWin rate · lifetime321 / 611 vs 69 / 15452.5%44.8%321 / 611 vs 69 / 154Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanZeman 1.40/Pour 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.3%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 26 · 11:50R. Zeman—71211113L. Pour—1110971
WApr 23 · 14:50R. Zeman—11511133L. Pour—9118111
WApr 5 · 10:20R. Zeman—1113113L. Pour—61190
WApr 4 · 10:55R. Zeman—1211113L. Pour—10880
LMar 15 · 17:20R. Zeman—11681192L. Pour—411115113
WFeb 27 · 21:50R. Zeman—1111113L. Pour—8750
LJan 18 · 10:25R. Zeman—117114132L. Pour—911711153
LJan 18 · 07:20R. Zeman—5490L. Pour—1111113
WDec 7 · 09:20R. Zeman—1111133L. Pour—67110
LAug 10 · 12:20R. Zeman—8870L. Pour—1111113
R. Zeman10
LSep 7 · 21:20R. Zeman2.025740P. Cibik1.701111113WSep 7 · 20:20P. Cibik1.611111103122R. Zeman2.20871211143LSep 7 · 19:50L. Vich1.611111113R. Zeman2.206640LSep 7 · 18:50R. Zeman2.7581070Z. Vyskocil1.401112113WSep 6 · 13:24M. Nemec2.457960R. Zeman1.48111183LSep 6 · 12:20R. Zeman2.1071260Z. Vyskocil1.671114113LSep 6 · 11:20R. Zeman1.40711871M. Nemec2.7511911113LSep 6 · 10:20R. Zeman2.10141380P. Cibik1.671615113WSep 4 · 17:50R. Zeman1.711114113J. Rolik2.0061260WSep 4 · 16:50R. Zeman1.441111113M. Nemec2.638770
L. Pour10
WAug 2 · 13:28L. Pour2.3812118113J. Rolik1.531061121WAug 2 · 12:20L. Pour1.831412116113J. Rolik1.83161091182LAug 2 · 11:20L. Pour3.0011301182R. Zeman1.36911118113LAug 2 · 10:20L. Pour1.8396111162M. Nemec1.83111153113LJul 26 · 13:26J. Brynych1.601211113L. Pour2.2010650LJul 26 · 12:20J. Brynych1.4412115113L. Pour2.631081181LJul 26 · 10:50L. Pour1.80311581M. Nemec1.9111511113WJul 19 · 13:23L. Pour1.911111113J. Rolik1.807480WJul 19 · 12:20J. Rolik1.80711691L. Pour1.9111911113LJul 19 · 11:50M. Nemec1.911111113L. Pour1.809770
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