TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12348334
Played Aug 2Finished
Lukas Pour
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
14161210119611118
Jakub Rolik
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Pour to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Pour above · Jakub Rolik below
Set 1 · 14-16
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 108 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Lukas Pour at 54.0%
108 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Pour 24–19 Jakub Rolik Jakub Rolik has won 19 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:02What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Rolik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-19 in 43
Pour
Correct
gap of 5 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pour 1241 vs Rolik 1398
Rolik
Wrong
both rated, 157 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pour 0% vs Rolik 20%
Rolik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pour 20% vs Rolik 50%
Rolik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pour -5 · Rolik +1
Pour
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pour)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rolik form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPour 1.83 / Rolik 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pour)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12348334
Pour1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Rolik1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePour6wins
AwayRolik4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPour leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePour83.3%5 of 6
AwayRolik75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pour6Rolik4n = 10Pour took 6 of 10
S2Pour7Rolik3n = 10Pour took 7 of 10
S3Pour7Rolik3n = 10Pour took 7 of 10
S4Pour6Rolik3n = 9Pour took 6 of 9
S5Pour0Rolik4n = 4Rolik took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPourRolikP − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.138.6+4.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPourRolikBasisWin rate · lifetime67 / 154 vs 293 / 60343.5%48.6%67 / 154 vs 293 / 603Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PourPour 1.83/Rolik 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pour · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pour won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 19 · 13:23L. Pour—1111113J. Rolik—7480
WJul 19 · 12:20L. Pour—11911113J. Rolik—711691
WJun 20 · 12:25L. Pour—11119113J. Rolik—791161
LJun 14 · 07:50L. Pour—11715972J. Rolik—5111311113
LApr 23 · 17:35L. Pour—31114842J. Rolik—1171211113
LApr 23 · 16:20L. Pour—111191192J. Rolik—139117113
WApr 4 · 12:55L. Pour—11911113J. Rolik—911661
WMar 6 · 14:55L. Pour—91111113J. Rolik—115661
LMar 6 · 13:50L. Pour—121111592J. Rolik—148511113
WFeb 27 · 22:20L. Pour—11119113J. Rolik—991191
L. Pour10
WAug 2 · 13:28L. Pour2.3812118113J. Rolik1.531061121LAug 2 · 11:20L. Pour3.0011301182R. Zeman1.36911118113LAug 2 · 10:20L. Pour1.8396111162M. Nemec1.83111153113LJul 26 · 13:26J. Brynych1.601211113L. Pour2.2010650LJul 26 · 12:20J. Brynych1.4412115113L. Pour2.631081181LJul 26 · 11:50R. Zeman1.4071211113L. Pour2.751110971LJul 26 · 10:50L. Pour1.80311581M. Nemec1.9111511113WJul 19 · 13:23L. Pour1.911111113J. Rolik1.807480WJul 19 · 12:20J. Rolik1.80711691L. Pour1.9111911113LJul 19 · 11:50M. Nemec1.911111113L. Pour1.809770
J. Rolik10
LSep 4 · 17:50R. Zeman1.711114113J. Rolik2.0061260LSep 4 · 16:20M. Kolbusovsky2.751181110113J. Rolik1.4071181282WSep 4 · 15:50M. Nemec1.911171191J. Rolik1.8031113113WSep 4 · 14:50J. Rolik2.20781111113R. Zeman1.6111114462WSep 3 · 17:55J. Rolik1.801211113M. Nemec1.9010990LSep 3 · 16:20J. Rolik1.571110110O. Sebek2.251312133WSep 3 · 15:20J. Rolik1.91711611113J. Brynych1.8011711982LAug 2 · 13:28L. Pour2.3812118113J. Rolik1.531061121LJul 19 · 13:23L. Pour1.911111113J. Rolik1.807480LJul 19 · 12:20J. Rolik1.80711691L. Pour1.9111911113
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