Jakub Rolik vs Lukas Pour 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #12263007

Played Jul 19Finished

Jakub Rolik

Home

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

711119611911––

Lukas Pour

Away

1.91

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 4

How it is goingJakub Rolik above · Lukas Pour below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 6-11

Set 4 · 9-11

Point 75 set 4, 9-11

75 points played in total.

H2H Jakub Rolik 19–23 Lukas Pour Jakub Rolik has won 19 of their 42 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rolik)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Pour form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsRolik 1.80 / Pour 1.91

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Rolik)+2.5pp

TT Cup · #12263007

Rolik1.80

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite65% won 82 of 126

Up 2–0, closes it98% 39 of 40

Up 1–0, closes it78% 53 of 68

Pour1.91

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog36% won 14 of 39

Down 0–1, comes back16% 4 of 25

Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeRolik4wins

AwayPour6wins

5 of 10 to a deciderPour leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeRolik75%3 of 4

AwayPour83.3%5 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Rolik4Pour6n = 10Pour took 6 of 10

S2Rolik4Pour6n = 10Pour took 6 of 10

S3Rolik4Pour6n = 10Pour took 6 of 10

S4Rolik3Pour7n = 10Pour took 7 of 10

S5Rolik4Pour1n = 5Rolik took 4 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home440%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away550%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricRolikPourR − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.144.4−3.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricRolikPourBasisWin rate · lifetime286 / 589 vs 69 / 15548.6%44.5%286 / 589 vs 69 / 155Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Rolik

Rolik 1.80/Pour 1.91

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Rolik · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Pour won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LJul 19 · 12:20J. Rolik—711691L. Pour—11911113

LJun 20 · 12:25J. Rolik—791161L. Pour—11119113

WJun 14 · 07:50J. Rolik—5111311113L. Pour—11715972

WApr 23 · 17:35J. Rolik—1171211113L. Pour—31114842

WApr 23 · 16:20J. Rolik—139117113L. Pour—111191192

LApr 4 · 12:55J. Rolik—911661L. Pour—11911113

LMar 6 · 14:55J. Rolik—115661L. Pour—91111113

WMar 6 · 13:50J. Rolik—148511113L. Pour—121111592

LFeb 27 · 22:20J. Rolik—991191L. Pour—11119113

LFeb 27 · 19:50J. Rolik—611116102L. Pour—117511123

J. Rolik10

LSep 4 · 17:50R. Zeman1.711114113J. Rolik2.0061260 LSep 4 · 16:20M. Kolbusovsky2.751181110113J. Rolik1.4071181282 WSep 4 · 15:50M. Nemec1.911171191J. Rolik1.8031113113 WSep 4 · 14:50J. Rolik2.20781111113R. Zeman1.6111114462 WSep 3 · 17:55J. Rolik1.801211113M. Nemec1.9010990 LSep 3 · 16:20J. Rolik1.571110110O. Sebek2.251312133 WSep 3 · 15:20J. Rolik1.91711611113J. Brynych1.8011711982 WSep 3 · 14:20J. Rolik1.731113512113M. Nemec2.00911111482 WSep 1 · 13:30J. Rolik2.20811148123S. Matousch1.611171211102 LSep 1 · 12:20P. Cibik1.50117611113J. Rolik2.5091111982

L. Pour10

WAug 2 · 13:28L. Pour2.3812118113J. Rolik1.531061121 WAug 2 · 12:20L. Pour1.831412116113J. Rolik1.83161091182 LAug 2 · 11:20L. Pour3.0011301182R. Zeman1.36911118113 LAug 2 · 10:20L. Pour1.8396111162M. Nemec1.83111153113 LJul 26 · 13:26J. Brynych1.601211113L. Pour2.2010650 LJul 26 · 12:20J. Brynych1.4412115113L. Pour2.631081181 LJul 26 · 11:50R. Zeman1.4071211113L. Pour2.751110971 LJul 26 · 10:50L. Pour1.80311581M. Nemec1.9111511113 WJul 19 · 13:23L. Pour1.911111113J. Rolik1.807480 LJul 19 · 11:50M. Nemec1.911111113L. Pour1.809770

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