TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13159154
Played Sep 19Finished
Kateryna Bondarenko
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111158111210117
Olena Bondareva
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:56 and never touched — 75.9% is still 75.9%
Graded at full timeKateryna Bondarenko to win
75.9%
75.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKateryna Bondarenko above · Olena Bondareva below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 92 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Kateryna Bondarenko at 75.9%
92 points played in total.
H2H Kateryna Bondarenko 1–2 Olena Bondareva Kateryna Bondarenko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:56What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Bondarenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bondarenko 1650 vs Bondareva 1395
Bondarenko
Correct
both rated, 256 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bondarenko 60% vs Bondareva 20%
Bondarenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bondarenko 60% vs Bondareva 20%
Bondarenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bondarenko +1 · Bondareva -4
Bondareva
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Bondarenko) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bondarenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBondarenko 1.28 / Bondareva 3.50
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Bondarenko)-0.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #13159154
Bondarenko1.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 75 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it84% 48 of 57
Bondareva3.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog25% won 24 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back16% 11 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBondarenko1wins
AwayBondareva2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderBondareva leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bondarenko1Bondareva2n = 3Bondareva took 2 of 3
S2Bondarenko2Bondareva1n = 3Bondarenko took 2 of 3
S3Bondarenko0Bondareva3n = 3Bondareva took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricBondarenkoBondarevaBondarenko − BondarevaBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match38.343.3−5.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBondarenkoBondarevaBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 127 vs 113 / 28868.5%39.2%87 / 127 vs 113 / 288Avg sets wonper match2.51.8per matchAvg pointsper match41.335.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BondarenkoBondarenko 1.28/Bondareva 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.1%
Bondarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bondarenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 2 · 12:35K. Bondarenko4481171172O. Bondareva50118119113
WJun 20 · 19:05K. Bondarenko46141164113O. Bondareva45125111162
LMay 15 · 13:35K. Bondarenko2577110O. Bondareva351111133
K. Bondarenko10
WSep 19 · 12:35K. Bondarenko1.611111113V. Shevchuk2.2075100LSep 10 · 19:05K. Bondarenko1.6787111262M. Gordeets2.101111510113WSep 10 · 17:05A. Gorchakova2.6311114572K. Bondarenko1.44971111113LSep 10 · 16:05K. Bondarenko1.50124691V. Shevchuk2.50101111113WSep 10 · 15:05Y. Severina2.754711101K. Bondarenko1.4011119123WSep 10 · 13:35K. Bondarenko1.611112113A. Volgina2.2071070WSep 4 · 18:35K. Bondarenko1.401771311123A. Lapa2.751511156102WSep 4 · 17:05K. Bondarenko1.2211116593K. Tymchenko4.0099111162LSep 4 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.6171131192A. Volgina2.20113117113LSep 4 · 14:05K. Bondarenko1.8311411422M. Gordeets1.83911711113
O. Bondareva10
LSep 19 · 13:05A. Lapa1.3312311113O. Bondareva3.251011741LSep 6 · 19:05O. Ivchenko1.2231113113O. Bondareva4.001171191LSep 6 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.221111113O. Bondareva4.0067100LSep 6 · 16:35A. Gorchakova1.281112103O. Bondareva3.5071070WSep 6 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.3011116612O. Bondareva3.4085111123LAug 29 · 18:35O. Bondareva3.251166101K. Bondarenko1.3391111102LAug 29 · 14:05O. Bondareva4.00127591O. Ivchenko1.22101111113LAug 29 · 12:35O. Bondareva4.00111144152M. Gordeets1.22881111173LAug 20 · 19:05O. Bondareva3.50881231A. Gorchakova1.28111110113WAug 20 · 17:05K. Tymchenko3.509580O. Bondareva1.281111113
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