TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13084848
Played Sep 6Finished
Viktoria Shevchuk
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11811561161112
Olena Bondareva
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:08 and never touched — 76.3% is still 76.3%
Graded at full timeViktoria Shevchuk to win
76.3%
76.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingViktoria Shevchuk above · Olena Bondareva below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 1-2
Point 72 set 5, 1-2 — our read held Viktoria Shevchuk at 76.3%
72 points played in total.
H2H Viktoria Shevchuk 12–6 Olena Bondareva Olena Bondareva has won 6 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:08What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Shevchuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-6 in 18
Shevchuk
Wrong
gap of 6 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shevchuk 1677 vs Bondareva 1404
Shevchuk
Wrong
both rated, 273 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shevchuk 80% vs Bondareva 20%
Shevchuk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shevchuk 70% vs Bondareva 20%
Shevchuk
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shevchuk +4 · Bondareva -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Shevchuk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShevchuk 1.30 / Bondareva 3.40
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Shevchuk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #13084848
Shevchuk1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Bondareva3.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShevchuk8wins
AwayBondareva2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderShevchuk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShevchuk85.7%6 of 7
AwayBondareva33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shevchuk7Bondareva3n = 10Shevchuk took 7 of 10
S2Shevchuk7Bondareva3n = 10Shevchuk took 7 of 10
S3Shevchuk7Bondareva3n = 10Shevchuk took 7 of 10
S4Shevchuk3Bondareva3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricShevchukBondarevaS − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.631.9+5.7per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShevchukBondarevaBasisWin rate · lifetime156 / 271 vs 113 / 29057.6%39%156 / 271 vs 113 / 290Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.935.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShevchukShevchuk 1.30/Bondareva 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.3%
Shevchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bondareva won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 16:05V. Shevchuk—1111113O. Bondareva—9790
WAug 14 · 19:05V. Shevchuk—711611113O. Bondareva—11711742
LAug 8 · 18:03V. Shevchuk—711491O. Bondareva—11911113
WAug 8 · 15:35V. Shevchuk—91111113O. Bondareva—112891
WAug 2 · 18:05V. Shevchuk—1111113O. Bondareva—9760
WJul 10 · 15:05V. Shevchuk—119117113O. Bondareva—71191132
LJul 3 · 14:05V. Shevchuk—1171061O. Bondareva—81112113
WMay 30 · 17:05V. Shevchuk—1111113O. Bondareva—8970
WApr 26 · 19:05V. Shevchuk—1111113O. Bondareva—8690
WApr 18 · 12:35V. Shevchuk—11811123O. Bondareva—5114101
V. Shevchuk10
WSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102LSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 15:35K. Tymchenko2.50451131V. Shevchuk1.5011117113WSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko1.73136891V. Shevchuk2.00111111113WSep 5 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko5.50291171V. Shevchuk1.1311117113WSep 5 · 17:35V. Shevchuk2.0011118113O. Ivchenko1.73491151WSep 5 · 16:35V. Shevchuk1.2511711113A. Gorchakova3.75611651LSep 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk1.91101191152A. Volgina1.80126116113LSep 5 · 13:05V. Shevchuk2.001681151M. Gordeets1.7318115113WAug 30 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.00121114113A. Volgina1.731441281
O. Bondareva10
LSep 6 · 19:05O. Ivchenko1.2231113113O. Bondareva4.001171191LSep 6 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.221111113O. Bondareva4.0067100LSep 6 · 16:35A. Gorchakova1.281112103O. Bondareva3.5071070LAug 29 · 18:35O. Bondareva3.251166101K. Bondarenko1.3391111102LAug 29 · 14:05O. Bondareva4.00127591O. Ivchenko1.22101111113LAug 29 · 12:35O. Bondareva4.00111144152M. Gordeets1.22881111173LAug 20 · 19:05O. Bondareva3.50881231A. Gorchakova1.28111110113WAug 20 · 17:05K. Tymchenko3.509580O. Bondareva1.281111113LAug 20 · 16:05O. Bondareva3.259790V. Shevchuk1.331111113WAug 20 · 15:05A. Lapa1.3311711292O. Bondareva3.25911611113
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