TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13079912
Played Sep 5Finished
Viktoria Shevchuk
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116711116115––
Anna Gorchakova
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:09 and never touched — 77.8% is still 77.8%
Graded at full timeViktoria Shevchuk to win
77.8%
77.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktoria Shevchuk above · Anna Gorchakova below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 68 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Viktoria Shevchuk at 77.8%
68 points played in total.
H2H Viktoria Shevchuk 18–7 Anna Gorchakova Anna Gorchakova has won 7 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:09What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Shevchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-7 in 25
Shevchuk
Correct
gap of 11 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shevchuk 1590 vs Gorchakova 1528
Shevchuk
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shevchuk 40% vs Gorchakova 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shevchuk 50% vs Gorchakova 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shevchuk -2 · Gorchakova -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Shevchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gorchakova form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShevchuk 1.25 / Gorchakova 3.75
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Shevchuk)+2.8pp
Setka Cup Women · #13079912
Shevchuk1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Gorchakova3.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShevchuk7wins
AwayGorchakova3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderShevchuk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShevchuk75%6 of 8
AwayGorchakovan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shevchuk8Gorchakova2n = 10Shevchuk took 8 of 10
S2Shevchuk7Gorchakova3n = 10Shevchuk took 7 of 10
S3Shevchuk10Gorchakova0n = 10Shevchuk took 10 of 10
S4Shevchuk2Gorchakova3n = 5Gorchakova took 3 of 5
S5Shevchuk0Gorchakova3n = 3Gorchakova took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricShevchukGorchakovaS − GBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.635.1+3.5per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShevchukGorchakovaBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 267 vs 192 / 41656.9%46.2%152 / 267 vs 192 / 416Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.835.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShevchukShevchuk 1.25/Gorchakova 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.8%
Shevchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Shevchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 18:05V. Shevchuk—71215113A. Gorchakova—11101391
LAug 14 · 12:35V. Shevchuk—11911592A. Gorchakova—911711113
WAug 7 · 15:35V. Shevchuk—1111113A. Gorchakova—5460
LJul 26 · 18:05V. Shevchuk—71711572A. Gorchakova—1115911113
WJul 25 · 18:04V. Shevchuk—1111113A. Gorchakova—6960
WJul 25 · 14:07V. Shevchuk—141111113A. Gorchakova—1213981
WJul 24 · 14:05V. Shevchuk—1111123A. Gorchakova—99100
WJul 17 · 16:35V. Shevchuk—1111113A. Gorchakova—9870
LJul 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk—11611512A. Gorchakova—911711113
WJun 21 · 14:05V. Shevchuk—1111133A. Gorchakova—75110
V. Shevchuk10
WSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102LSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 15:35K. Tymchenko2.50451131V. Shevchuk1.5011117113LSep 6 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.3011116612O. Bondareva3.4085111123WSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko1.73136891V. Shevchuk2.00111111113WSep 5 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko5.50291171V. Shevchuk1.1311117113WSep 5 · 17:35V. Shevchuk2.0011118113O. Ivchenko1.73491151LSep 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk1.91101191152A. Volgina1.80126116113LSep 5 · 13:05V. Shevchuk2.001681151M. Gordeets1.7318115113WAug 30 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.00121114113A. Volgina1.731441281
A. Gorchakova10
WSep 6 · 18:35K. Tymchenko3.408760A. Gorchakova1.301111113WSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 16:35A. Gorchakova1.281112103O. Bondareva3.5071070WSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581LSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova3.7511511762M. Gordeets1.2561131193LSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861LSep 5 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.281111113A. Gorchakova3.509460LSep 5 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.408111173A. Gorchakova2.75116641LSep 5 · 12:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25811611113A. Gorchakova1.3311711992WSep 4 · 19:05K. Tymchenko3.256960A. Gorchakova1.331111113
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