TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13079921
Played Sep 5Finished
Anastasiia Volgina
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111210118116––
Anna Gorchakova
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:08 and never touched — 72.8% is still 72.8%
Graded at full timeAnastasiia Volgina to win
72.8%
72.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnastasiia Volgina above · Anna Gorchakova below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 78 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Anastasiia Volgina at 72.8%
78 points played in total.
H2H Anastasiia Volgina 41–22 Anna Gorchakova Anna Gorchakova has won 22 of their 63 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:08What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Volgina
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-22 in 63
Volgina
Correct
gap of 19 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volgina 1590 vs Gorchakova 1495
Volgina
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volgina 40% vs Gorchakova 20%
Volgina
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volgina 40% vs Gorchakova 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volgina +1 · Gorchakova -4
Gorchakova
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Volgina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gorchakova form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolgina 1.36 / Gorchakova 3.00
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Volgina)+4.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #13079921
Volgina1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Gorchakova3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolgina8wins
AwayGorchakova2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVolgina leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolgina85.7%6 of 7
AwayGorchakova33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volgina7Gorchakova3n = 10Volgina took 7 of 10
S2Volgina7Gorchakova3n = 10Volgina took 7 of 10
S3Volgina8Gorchakova2n = 10Volgina took 8 of 10
S4Volgina4Gorchakova2n = 6Volgina took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolginaGorchakovaV − GBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.432.0+7.4per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolginaGorchakovaBasisWin rate · lifetime364 / 644 vs 192 / 41856.5%45.9%364 / 644 vs 192 / 418Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolginaVolgina 1.36/Gorchakova 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.8%
Volgina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Volgina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 14:35A. Volgina—111189102A. Gorchakova—961111123
WAug 30 · 16:05A. Volgina—891111113A. Gorchakova—11113562
WAug 23 · 12:35A. Volgina—11117123A. Gorchakova—7711101
WAug 22 · 17:35A. Volgina—1113113A. Gorchakova—91130
LAug 16 · 18:05A. Volgina—991181A. Gorchakova—11119113
WAug 14 · 14:05A. Volgina—1111113A. Gorchakova—6790
WAug 7 · 14:05A. Volgina—121111113A. Gorchakova—148571
WJul 26 · 14:35A. Volgina—1112113A. Gorchakova—71080
WJul 25 · 13:05A. Volgina—1111113A. Gorchakova—9890
WJul 24 · 12:35A. Volgina—11411113A. Gorchakova—611561
A. Volgina10
WSep 5 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.7512971A. Volgina1.251411112LSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113WSep 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk1.91101191152A. Volgina1.80126116113LSep 5 · 13:35A. Volgina2.10118111192O. Ivchenko1.67131189113LSep 4 · 19:35A. Volgina1.8061080M. Gordeets1.911112113WSep 4 · 17:35A. Lapa2.201071151A. Volgina1.6112116113WSep 4 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.6171131192A. Volgina2.20113117113LSep 4 · 14:35A. Volgina1.36111189102A. Gorchakova3.00961111123LSep 4 · 13:35K. Tymchenko2.631110611133A. Volgina1.44512116112LAug 30 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.00121114113A. Volgina1.731441281
A. Gorchakova10
WSep 6 · 18:35K. Tymchenko3.408760A. Gorchakova1.301111113WSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 16:35A. Gorchakova1.281112103O. Bondareva3.5071070WSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581LSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova3.7511511762M. Gordeets1.2561131193LSep 5 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.281111113A. Gorchakova3.509460LSep 5 · 16:35V. Shevchuk1.2511711113A. Gorchakova3.75611651LSep 5 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.408111173A. Gorchakova2.75116641LSep 5 · 12:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25811611113A. Gorchakova1.3311711992WSep 4 · 14:35A. Volgina1.36111189102A. Gorchakova3.00961111123
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