TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13073976
Played Sep 4Finished
Kateryna Bondarenko
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711113311117911
Anastasiia Volgina
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:06 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeKateryna Bondarenko to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKateryna Bondarenko above · Anastasiia Volgina below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 84 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Kateryna Bondarenko at 59.3%
84 points played in total.
H2H Kateryna Bondarenko 12–7 Anastasiia Volgina Anastasiia Volgina has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:06What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Bondarenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-7 in 19
Bondarenko
Wrong
gap of 5 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bondarenko 1628 vs Volgina 1639
Volgina
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bondarenko 20% vs Volgina 40%
Volgina
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bondarenko 40% vs Volgina 70%
Volgina
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bondarenko -2 · Volgina -3
Volgina
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Bondarenko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bondarenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBondarenko 1.61 / Volgina 2.20
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Bondarenko)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup Women · #13073976
Bondarenko1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Volgina2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBondarenko6wins
AwayVolgina4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBondarenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBondarenko80%4 of 5
AwayVolgina60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bondarenko5Volgina5n = 10split evenly
S2Bondarenko6Volgina4n = 10Bondarenko took 6 of 10
S3Bondarenko5Volgina5n = 10split evenly
S4Bondarenko3Volgina6n = 9Volgina took 6 of 9
S5Bondarenko3Volgina0n = 3Bondarenko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBondarenkoVolginaB − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.438.7+1.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBondarenkoVolginaBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 119 vs 364 / 64368.9%56.6%82 / 119 vs 364 / 643Avg sets wonper match2.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match41.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BondarenkoBondarenko 1.61/Volgina 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.3%
Bondarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Volgina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 17:35K. Bondarenko—711581A. Volgina—11611113
WAug 16 · 13:05K. Bondarenko—111110113A. Volgina—591291
WAug 7 · 13:05K. Bondarenko—111173113A. Volgina—79111172
LAug 1 · 16:35K. Bondarenko—1111581A. Volgina—13311113
WJul 31 · 18:05K. Bondarenko—1112123A. Volgina—510100
LJul 26 · 13:35K. Bondarenko—1161241A. Volgina—61114113
WJul 18 · 18:05K. Bondarenko—911125113A. Volgina—115101122
WJul 17 · 15:35K. Bondarenko—111011123A. Volgina—7122101
LJul 5 · 14:05K. Bondarenko—681391A. Volgina—111111113
WJun 20 · 18:05K. Bondarenko—9111114113A. Volgina—111381252
K. Bondarenko10
WSep 4 · 18:35K. Bondarenko1.401771311123A. Lapa2.751511156102WSep 4 · 17:05K. Bondarenko1.2211116593K. Tymchenko4.0099111162LSep 4 · 14:05K. Bondarenko1.8311411422M. Gordeets1.83911711113LSep 4 · 12:35K. Bondarenko1.4011911972A. Gorchakova2.75911711113WAug 29 · 18:35O. Bondareva3.251166101K. Bondarenko1.3391111102LAug 29 · 17:35K. Bondarenko1.44711581A. Volgina2.6311611113LAug 29 · 16:35K. Bondarenko1.73116481M. Gordeets2.0091111113WAug 29 · 15:05K. Bondarenko1.081111912113A. Hordynska-Sheiko7.0059111462WAug 29 · 13:05K. Bondarenko1.4011117113O. Ivchenko2.75781131LAug 16 · 18:35A. Lapa3.2511116113K. Bondarenko1.33591151
A. Volgina10
WSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861WSep 5 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.7512971A. Volgina1.251411112LSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113WSep 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk1.91101191152A. Volgina1.80126116113LSep 5 · 13:35A. Volgina2.10118111192O. Ivchenko1.67131189113LSep 4 · 19:35A. Volgina1.8061080M. Gordeets1.911112113WSep 4 · 17:35A. Lapa2.201071151A. Volgina1.6112116113LSep 4 · 14:35A. Volgina1.36111189102A. Gorchakova3.00961111123LSep 4 · 13:35K. Tymchenko2.631110611133A. Volgina1.44512116112WAug 29 · 17:35K. Bondarenko1.44711581A. Volgina2.6311611113
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