TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13073940
Played Sep 4Finished
Kateryna Bondarenko
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119911117911711
Anna Gorchakova
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:52 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeKateryna Bondarenko to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKateryna Bondarenko above · Anna Gorchakova below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 96 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Kateryna Bondarenko at 70.7%
96 points played in total.
H2H Kateryna Bondarenko 8–3 Anna Gorchakova Anna Gorchakova has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:52What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Bondarenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-3 in 11
Bondarenko
Wrong
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bondarenko 1657 vs Gorchakova 1483
Bondarenko
Wrong
both rated, 174 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bondarenko 60% vs Gorchakova 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bondarenko 60% vs Gorchakova 30%
Bondarenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bondarenko +1 · Gorchakova +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Bondarenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gorchakova form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBondarenko 1.40 / Gorchakova 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Bondarenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup Women · #13073940
Bondarenko1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Gorchakova2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBondarenko7wins
AwayGorchakova3wins
7 of 10 to a deciderBondarenko leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBondarenko83.3%5 of 6
AwayGorchakova50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bondarenko6Gorchakova4n = 10Bondarenko took 6 of 10
S2Bondarenko5Gorchakova5n = 10split evenly
S3Bondarenko9Gorchakova1n = 10Bondarenko took 9 of 10
S4Bondarenko3Gorchakova5n = 8Gorchakova took 5 of 8
S5Bondarenko4Gorchakova3n = 7Bondarenko took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBondarenkoGorchakovaB − GBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match46.239.7+6.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBondarenkoGorchakovaBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 117 vs 188 / 40970.1%46%82 / 117 vs 188 / 409Avg sets wonper match2.51.8per matchAvg pointsper match41.235.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BondarenkoBondarenko 1.40/Gorchakova 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.7%
Bondarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Gorchakova won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 16 · 16:35K. Bondarenko—1081111102A. Gorchakova—121146123
LAug 7 · 18:35K. Bondarenko—711111182A. Gorchakova—119313113
WJul 26 · 19:05K. Bondarenko—6111212113A. Gorchakova—116101462
WJul 18 · 14:05K. Bondarenko—16121163A. Gorchakova—1414731
WJul 17 · 12:35K. Bondarenko—1113113A. Gorchakova—91130
WJul 5 · 18:35K. Bondarenko—117119143A. Gorchakova—311311122
WJun 12 · 17:05K. Bondarenko—611116113A. Gorchakova—11881162
WJun 5 · 12:35K. Bondarenko—1111113A. Gorchakova—8870
WMay 17 · 12:35K. Bondarenko—1110118113A. Gorchakova—71241172
LMay 7 · 17:05K. Bondarenko—1191011102A. Gorchakova—611128123
K. Bondarenko10
WSep 4 · 18:35K. Bondarenko1.401771311123A. Lapa2.751511156102WSep 4 · 17:05K. Bondarenko1.2211116593K. Tymchenko4.0099111162LSep 4 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.6171131192A. Volgina2.20113117113LSep 4 · 14:05K. Bondarenko1.8311411422M. Gordeets1.83911711113WAug 29 · 18:35O. Bondareva3.251166101K. Bondarenko1.3391111102LAug 29 · 17:35K. Bondarenko1.44711581A. Volgina2.6311611113LAug 29 · 16:35K. Bondarenko1.73116481M. Gordeets2.0091111113WAug 29 · 15:05K. Bondarenko1.081111912113A. Hordynska-Sheiko7.0059111462WAug 29 · 13:05K. Bondarenko1.4011117113O. Ivchenko2.75781131LAug 16 · 18:35A. Lapa3.2511116113K. Bondarenko1.33591151
A. Gorchakova10
WSep 6 · 18:35K. Tymchenko3.408760A. Gorchakova1.301111113WSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 16:35A. Gorchakova1.281112103O. Bondareva3.5071070WSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581LSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova3.7511511762M. Gordeets1.2561131193LSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861LSep 5 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.281111113A. Gorchakova3.509460LSep 5 · 16:35V. Shevchuk1.2511711113A. Gorchakova3.75611651LSep 5 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.408111173A. Gorchakova2.75116641LSep 5 · 12:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25811611113A. Gorchakova1.3311711992
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