TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13079916
Played Sep 5Finished
Margarita Gordeets
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119114116––––
Anna Gorchakova
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:09 and never touched — 78.6% is still 78.6%
Graded at full timeMargarita Gordeets to win
78.6%
78.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMargarita Gordeets above · Anna Gorchakova below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 52 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Margarita Gordeets at 78.6%
52 points played in total.
H2H Margarita Gordeets 55–10 Anna Gorchakova Anna Gorchakova has won 10 of their 65 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:09What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Gordeets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
55-10 in 65
Gordeets
Correct
gap of 45 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gordeets 1684 vs Gorchakova 1457
Gordeets
Correct
both rated, 227 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gordeets 80% vs Gorchakova 20%
Gordeets
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gordeets 70% vs Gorchakova 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gordeets +1 · Gorchakova -3
Gorchakova
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Gordeets) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGordeets 1.28 / Gorchakova 3.50
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Gordeets)+6.3pp
Setka Cup Women · #13079916
Gordeets1.28
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Gorchakova3.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGordeets7wins
AwayGorchakova3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderGordeets leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGordeets85.7%6 of 7
AwayGorchakova66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gordeets7Gorchakova3n = 10Gordeets took 7 of 10
S2Gordeets7Gorchakova3n = 10Gordeets took 7 of 10
S3Gordeets6Gorchakova4n = 10Gordeets took 6 of 10
S4Gordeets2Gorchakova2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGordeetsGorchakovaGordeets − GorchakovaBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match34.930.6+4.3per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGordeetsGorchakovaBasisWin rate · lifetime359 / 621 vs 192 / 41957.8%45.8%359 / 621 vs 192 / 419Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.235.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GordeetsGordeets 1.28/Gorchakova 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Gordeets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gordeets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 18:05M. Gordeets—1111113A. Gorchakova—9460
WSep 4 · 18:05M. Gordeets—1211133A. Gorchakova—108110
WAug 23 · 15:35M. Gordeets—951111113A. Gorchakova—11118322
WAug 22 · 16:35M. Gordeets—1111113A. Gorchakova—9870
LAug 20 · 14:35M. Gordeets—1611851A. Gorchakova—141311113
WAug 14 · 15:35M. Gordeets—1111113A. Gorchakova—5870
WJul 25 · 15:05M. Gordeets—11111113A. Gorchakova—871121
LJul 24 · 15:35M. Gordeets—11460A. Gorchakova—1311113
LJul 18 · 17:05M. Gordeets—9118111A. Gorchakova—11711133
WJul 17 · 18:05M. Gordeets—1111113A. Gorchakova—9970
M. Gordeets10
LSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102WSep 6 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.221111113O. Bondareva4.0067100WSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko1.91581181M. Gordeets1.8011116113WSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova3.7511511762M. Gordeets1.2561131193WSep 5 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.0079111242M. Gordeets1.731111510113WSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113LSep 5 · 14:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.00971111113M. Gordeets1.2211119892WSep 5 · 13:05V. Shevchuk2.001681151M. Gordeets1.7318115113WSep 4 · 19:35A. Volgina1.8061080M. Gordeets1.911112113WSep 4 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.331211133A. Gorchakova3.25108110
A. Gorchakova10
WSep 6 · 18:35K. Tymchenko3.408760A. Gorchakova1.301111113WSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 16:35A. Gorchakova1.281112103O. Bondareva3.5071070WSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581LSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova3.7511511762M. Gordeets1.2561131193LSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861LSep 5 · 16:35V. Shevchuk1.2511711113A. Gorchakova3.75611651LSep 5 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.408111173A. Gorchakova2.75116641LSep 5 · 12:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25811611113A. Gorchakova1.3311711992LSep 4 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.331211133A. Gorchakova3.25108110
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