TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13074015
Played Sep 4Finished
Anastasiia Volgina
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111012811––––
Margarita Gordeets
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnastasiia Volgina to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAnastasiia Volgina above · Margarita Gordeets below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 58 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Anastasiia Volgina at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Anastasiia Volgina 81–74 Margarita Gordeets Margarita Gordeets has won 74 of their 155 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:03What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Volgina
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
81-74 in 155
Volgina
Wrong
gap of 7 in 155, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volgina 1645 vs Gordeets 1657
Gordeets
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volgina 40% vs Gordeets 80%
Gordeets
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volgina 70% vs Gordeets 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volgina +2 · Gordeets +3
Gordeets
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Volgina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gordeets form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolgina 1.80 / Gordeets 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Volgina)+2.5pp
Setka Cup Women · #13074015
Volgina1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Gordeets1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolgina4wins
AwayGordeets6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGordeets leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolgina66.7%4 of 6
AwayGordeets100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volgina6Gordeets4n = 10Volgina took 6 of 10
S2Volgina5Gordeets5n = 10split evenly
S3Volgina4Gordeets6n = 10Gordeets took 6 of 10
S4Volgina3Gordeets2n = 5Volgina took 3 of 5
S5Volgina0Gordeets3n = 3Gordeets took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolginaGordeetsV − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.638.4−1.8per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolginaGordeetsBasisWin rate · lifetime365 / 644 vs 358 / 62156.7%57.7%365 / 644 vs 358 / 621Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolginaVolgina 1.80/Gordeets 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Volgina · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gordeets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 23 · 14:35A. Volgina—816120M. Gordeets—1118143
WAug 22 · 14:35A. Volgina—11115113M. Gordeets—991161
WAug 15 · 14:35A. Volgina—11115133M. Gordeets—9811111
LAug 14 · 19:35A. Volgina—10490M. Gordeets—1211113
LAug 1 · 18:05A. Volgina—61511572M. Gordeets—1113811113
LJul 31 · 16:05A. Volgina—11711892M. Gordeets—911611113
WJul 25 · 16:05A. Volgina—1111113M. Gordeets—8890
LJul 24 · 14:35A. Volgina—79110M. Gordeets—1111133
LJul 19 · 19:35A. Volgina—11961282M. Gordeets—4111110113
WJul 18 · 19:05A. Volgina—1111113M. Gordeets—9870
A. Volgina10
WSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861WSep 5 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.7512971A. Volgina1.251411112LSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113WSep 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk1.91101191152A. Volgina1.80126116113LSep 5 · 13:35A. Volgina2.10118111192O. Ivchenko1.67131189113WSep 4 · 17:35A. Lapa2.201071151A. Volgina1.6112116113WSep 4 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.6171131192A. Volgina2.20113117113LSep 4 · 14:35A. Volgina1.36111189102A. Gorchakova3.00961111123LSep 4 · 13:35K. Tymchenko2.631110611133A. Volgina1.44512116112LAug 30 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.00121114113A. Volgina1.731441281
M. Gordeets10
LSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102WSep 6 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.221111113O. Bondareva4.0067100WSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko1.91581181M. Gordeets1.8011116113WSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova3.7511511762M. Gordeets1.2561131193WSep 5 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.0079111242M. Gordeets1.731111510113WSep 5 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.281111113A. Gorchakova3.509460WSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113LSep 5 · 14:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.00971111113M. Gordeets1.2211119892WSep 5 · 13:05V. Shevchuk2.001681151M. Gordeets1.7318115113WSep 4 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.331211133A. Gorchakova3.25108110
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.