TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13079923
Played Sep 5Finished
Oleksandra Ivchenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7119111151210411
Margarita Gordeets
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:08 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeMargarita Gordeets to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandra Ivchenko above · Margarita Gordeets below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 91 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Margarita Gordeets at 54.1%
91 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandra Ivchenko 76–67 Margarita Gordeets Margarita Gordeets has won 67 of their 143 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:08What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Gordeets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
76-67 in 143
Ivchenko
Wrong
gap of 9 in 143, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivchenko 1574 vs Gordeets 1681
Gordeets
Correct
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivchenko 40% vs Gordeets 80%
Gordeets
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivchenko 40% vs Gordeets 80%
Gordeets
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivchenko -2 · Gordeets +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gordeets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gordeets form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvchenko 2.00 / Gordeets 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Gordeets)+0.4pp
Setka Cup Women · #13079923
Ivchenko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Gordeets1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIvchenko5wins
AwayGordeets5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvchenko75%3 of 4
AwayGordeets66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivchenko4Gordeets6n = 10Gordeets took 6 of 10
S2Ivchenko4Gordeets6n = 10Gordeets took 6 of 10
S3Ivchenko5Gordeets5n = 10split evenly
S4Ivchenko5Gordeets3n = 8Ivchenko took 5 of 8
S5Ivchenko2Gordeets1n = 3Ivchenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricIvchenkoGordeetsI − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.237.5+2.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvchenkoGordeetsBasisWin rate · lifetime351 / 567 vs 359 / 62161.9%57.8%351 / 567 vs 359 / 621Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GordeetsIvchenko 2.00/Gordeets 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Gordeets · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Gordeets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 1 · 16:05O. Ivchenko—1051181M. Gordeets—12115113
LJul 31 · 13:35O. Ivchenko—9780M. Gordeets—1111113
WJul 25 · 19:05O. Ivchenko—1111113M. Gordeets—7860
LJul 24 · 13:35O. Ivchenko—11910141M. Gordeets—31112163
WJul 19 · 14:35O. Ivchenko—1111993M. Gordeets—841141
LJul 18 · 13:35O. Ivchenko—66121172M. Gordeets—1111107113
WJul 17 · 16:05O. Ivchenko—891113113M. Gordeets—111141172
WJul 11 · 18:05O. Ivchenko—101111113M. Gordeets—129661
LJul 10 · 14:35O. Ivchenko—9128131M. Gordeets—111011153
WJul 5 · 14:35O. Ivchenko—118711113M. Gordeets—51111662
O. Ivchenko10
WSep 6 · 19:05O. Ivchenko1.2231113113O. Bondareva4.001171191LSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko1.91581181M. Gordeets1.8011116113LSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581LSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko1.73136891V. Shevchuk2.00111111113LSep 5 · 17:35V. Shevchuk2.0011118113O. Ivchenko1.73491151LSep 5 · 15:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25811711113O. Ivchenko1.3311211752WSep 5 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.408111173A. Gorchakova2.75116641WSep 5 · 13:35A. Volgina2.10118111192O. Ivchenko1.67131189113LAug 30 · 19:05A. Gorchakova2.75812515113O. Ivchenko1.401110111372LAug 30 · 18:05A. Volgina2.1011126113O. Ivchenko1.678101151
M. Gordeets10
LSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102WSep 6 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.221111113O. Bondareva4.0067100WSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko1.91581181M. Gordeets1.8011116113WSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova3.7511511762M. Gordeets1.2561131193WSep 5 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.281111113A. Gorchakova3.509460WSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113LSep 5 · 14:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.00971111113M. Gordeets1.2211119892WSep 5 · 13:05V. Shevchuk2.001681151M. Gordeets1.7318115113WSep 4 · 19:35A. Volgina1.8061080M. Gordeets1.911112113WSep 4 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.331211133A. Gorchakova3.25108110
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