TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13043054
Played Aug 30Finished
Anastasiia Volgina
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181210611115––
Oleksandra Ivchenko
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:26 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandra Ivchenko to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAnastasiia Volgina above · Oleksandra Ivchenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 74 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Oleksandra Ivchenko at 56.5%
74 points played in total.
H2H Anastasiia Volgina 69–80 Oleksandra Ivchenko Anastasiia Volgina has won 69 of their 149 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:26What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Ivchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
69-80 in 149
Ivchenko
Wrong
gap of 11 in 149, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volgina 1702 vs Ivchenko 1610
Volgina
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volgina 100% vs Ivchenko 60%
Volgina
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volgina 90% vs Ivchenko 60%
Volgina
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volgina +5 · Ivchenko +1
Volgina
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Ivchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volgina form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolgina 2.10 / Ivchenko 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Ivchenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup Women · #13043054
Volgina2.10
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Ivchenko1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolgina5wins
AwayIvchenko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolginan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayIvchenko44.4%4 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volgina1Ivchenko9n = 10Ivchenko took 9 of 10
S2Volgina5Ivchenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Volgina6Ivchenko4n = 10Volgina took 6 of 10
S4Volgina4Ivchenko4n = 8split evenly
S5Volgina3Ivchenko1n = 4Volgina took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolginaIvchenkoV − IBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match39.939.8+0.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolginaIvchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime366 / 647 vs 356 / 57056.6%62.5%366 / 647 vs 356 / 570Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvchenkoVolgina 2.10/Ivchenko 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Ivchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Volgina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 18:05A. Volgina—711118113O. Ivchenko—11991182
LAug 22 · 13:35A. Volgina—79110O. Ivchenko—1111133
LAug 16 · 19:35A. Volgina—67100O. Ivchenko—1111123
WAug 15 · 13:35A. Volgina—810111183O. Ivchenko—11124862
LAug 7 · 18:05A. Volgina—111165122O. Ivchenko—961111143
LAug 1 · 19:05A. Volgina—8119121O. Ivchenko—11511143
LJul 31 · 19:35A. Volgina—81011121O. Ivchenko—11129143
WJul 25 · 18:05A. Volgina—71112113O. Ivchenko—1181051
WJul 25 · 17:34A. Volgina—71111113O. Ivchenko—118551
WJul 24 · 19:05A. Volgina—671111113O. Ivchenko—11117732
A. Volgina10
WSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861WSep 5 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.7512971A. Volgina1.251411112LSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113WSep 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk1.91101191152A. Volgina1.80126116113LSep 5 · 13:35A. Volgina2.10118111192O. Ivchenko1.67131189113LSep 4 · 19:35A. Volgina1.8061080M. Gordeets1.911112113WSep 4 · 17:35A. Lapa2.201071151A. Volgina1.6112116113WSep 4 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.6171131192A. Volgina2.20113117113LSep 4 · 14:35A. Volgina1.36111189102A. Gorchakova3.00961111123LSep 4 · 13:35K. Tymchenko2.631110611133A. Volgina1.44512116112
O. Ivchenko10
WSep 6 · 19:05O. Ivchenko1.2231113113O. Bondareva4.001171191LSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko1.91581181M. Gordeets1.8011116113LSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581LSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko1.73136891V. Shevchuk2.00111111113LSep 5 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.0079111242M. Gordeets1.731111510113LSep 5 · 17:35V. Shevchuk2.0011118113O. Ivchenko1.73491151LSep 5 · 15:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25811711113O. Ivchenko1.3311211752WSep 5 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.408111173A. Gorchakova2.75116641WSep 5 · 13:35A. Volgina2.10118111192O. Ivchenko1.67131189113LAug 30 · 19:05A. Gorchakova2.75812515113O. Ivchenko1.401110111372
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