TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13074023
Played Sep 4Finished
Ksenia Tymchenko
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11510126111161311
Anastasiia Volgina
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:09 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timeAnastasiia Volgina to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKsenia Tymchenko above · Anastasiia Volgina below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 96 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Anastasiia Volgina at 67.7%
96 points played in total.
H2H Ksenia Tymchenko 29–46 Anastasiia Volgina Ksenia Tymchenko has won 29 of their 75 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:09What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Volgina
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-46 in 75
Volgina
Wrong
gap of 17 in 75, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tymchenko 1525 vs Volgina 1687
Volgina
Wrong
both rated, 162 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tymchenko 40% vs Volgina 80%
Volgina
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tymchenko 60% vs Volgina 90%
Volgina
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tymchenko +1 · Volgina -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Volgina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volgina form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTymchenko 2.63 / Volgina 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Volgina)+3.2pp
Setka Cup Women · #13074023
Tymchenko2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Volgina1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTymchenko4wins
AwayVolgina6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVolgina leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTymchenko44.4%4 of 9
AwayVolginan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tymchenko9Volgina1n = 10Tymchenko took 9 of 10
S2Tymchenko2Volgina8n = 10Volgina took 8 of 10
S3Tymchenko4Volgina6n = 10Volgina took 6 of 10
S4Tymchenko3Volgina5n = 8Volgina took 5 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTymchenkoVolginaT − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match36.037.8−1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTymchenkoVolginaBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 411 vs 365 / 64334.8%56.8%143 / 411 vs 365 / 643Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolginaTymchenko 2.63/Volgina 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.7%
Volgina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tymchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 14:05K. Tymchenko—1147111A. Volgina—81111123
WAug 23 · 16:35K. Tymchenko—11911113A. Volgina—911361
WAug 15 · 17:35K. Tymchenko—1111113A. Volgina—4490
LAug 8 · 17:33K. Tymchenko—8960A. Volgina—1111113
LAug 8 · 15:05K. Tymchenko—115117102A. Volgina—811911123
WJul 31 · 14:05K. Tymchenko—14129113A. Volgina—12101181
LJul 19 · 16:05K. Tymchenko—127661A. Volgina—101111113
LJul 18 · 16:35K. Tymchenko—116561A. Volgina—71111113
LJul 11 · 17:35K. Tymchenko—1175131A. Volgina—91111153
WJul 10 · 14:05K. Tymchenko—111111113A. Volgina—913771
K. Tymchenko10
LSep 6 · 18:35K. Tymchenko3.408760A. Gorchakova1.301111113LSep 6 · 15:35K. Tymchenko2.50451131V. Shevchuk1.5011117113LSep 4 · 19:05K. Tymchenko3.256960A. Gorchakova1.331111113LSep 4 · 17:05K. Bondarenko1.2211116593K. Tymchenko4.0099111162LSep 4 · 16:05K. Tymchenko2.50711771M. Gordeets1.5011411113LSep 4 · 15:05A. Lapa1.4017811113K. Tymchenko2.751511481WAug 30 · 18:35K. Tymchenko2.63111111113A. Lapa1.44913671LAug 30 · 17:05K. Tymchenko3.251191081A. Gorchakova1.3381112113WAug 30 · 15:35K. Tymchenko2.38111211113V. Shevchuk1.531310581LAug 30 · 14:05K. Tymchenko2.751147111A. Volgina1.4081111123
A. Volgina10
WSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861WSep 5 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.7512971A. Volgina1.251411112LSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113WSep 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk1.91101191152A. Volgina1.80126116113LSep 5 · 13:35A. Volgina2.10118111192O. Ivchenko1.67131189113LSep 4 · 19:35A. Volgina1.8061080M. Gordeets1.911112113WSep 4 · 17:35A. Lapa2.201071151A. Volgina1.6112116113WSep 4 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.6171131192A. Volgina2.20113117113LSep 4 · 14:35A. Volgina1.36111189102A. Gorchakova3.00961111123WAug 30 · 14:05K. Tymchenko2.751147111A. Volgina1.4081111123
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