TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13043049
Played Aug 30Finished
Ksenia Tymchenko
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1184117111112––
Anastasiia Volgina
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:29 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeAnastasiia Volgina to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKsenia Tymchenko above · Anastasiia Volgina below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-12
Point 75 set 4, 11-12 — our read held Anastasiia Volgina at 67.5%
75 points played in total.
H2H Ksenia Tymchenko 28–45 Anastasiia Volgina Ksenia Tymchenko has won 28 of their 73 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:29What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Volgina
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-45 in 73
Volgina
Correct
gap of 17 in 73, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tymchenko 1521 vs Volgina 1687
Volgina
Correct
both rated, 166 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tymchenko 80% vs Volgina 100%
Volgina
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tymchenko 60% vs Volgina 80%
Volgina
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tymchenko -1 · Volgina +5
Volgina
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Volgina) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volgina form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTymchenko 2.75 / Volgina 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 70%
Edge (Volgina)+3.2pp
Setka Cup Women · #13043049
Tymchenko2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Volgina1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTymchenko3wins
AwayVolgina7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVolgina leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTymchenko37.5%3 of 8
AwayVolginan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tymchenko8Volgina2n = 10Tymchenko took 8 of 10
S2Tymchenko2Volgina8n = 10Volgina took 8 of 10
S3Tymchenko4Volgina6n = 10Volgina took 6 of 10
S4Tymchenko3Volgina5n = 8Volgina took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTymchenkoVolginaT − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match35.040.0−5.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTymchenkoVolginaBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 416 vs 366 / 64834.9%56.5%145 / 416 vs 366 / 648Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolginaTymchenko 2.75/Volgina 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Volgina · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Volgina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 15 · 17:35K. Tymchenko—1111113A. Volgina—4490
LAug 8 · 17:33K. Tymchenko—8960A. Volgina—1111113
LAug 8 · 15:05K. Tymchenko—115117102A. Volgina—811911123
WJul 31 · 14:05K. Tymchenko—14129113A. Volgina—12101181
LJul 19 · 16:05K. Tymchenko—127661A. Volgina—101111113
LJul 18 · 16:35K. Tymchenko—116561A. Volgina—71111113
LJul 11 · 17:35K. Tymchenko—1175131A. Volgina—91111153
WJul 10 · 14:05K. Tymchenko—111111113A. Volgina—913771
LJul 4 · 15:35K. Tymchenko—48111122A. Volgina—111199113
LJul 3 · 19:05K. Tymchenko—116751A. Volgina—91111113
K. Tymchenko10
LSep 6 · 18:35K. Tymchenko3.408760A. Gorchakova1.301111113LSep 6 · 15:35K. Tymchenko2.50451131V. Shevchuk1.5011117113LSep 4 · 19:05K. Tymchenko3.256960A. Gorchakova1.331111113LSep 4 · 17:05K. Bondarenko1.2211116593K. Tymchenko4.0099111162LSep 4 · 16:05K. Tymchenko2.50711771M. Gordeets1.5011411113LSep 4 · 15:05A. Lapa1.4017811113K. Tymchenko2.751511481WSep 4 · 13:35K. Tymchenko2.631110611133A. Volgina1.44512116112WAug 30 · 18:35K. Tymchenko2.63111111113A. Lapa1.44913671LAug 30 · 17:05K. Tymchenko3.251191081A. Gorchakova1.3381112113WAug 30 · 15:35K. Tymchenko2.38111211113V. Shevchuk1.531310581
A. Volgina10
WSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861WSep 5 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.7512971A. Volgina1.251411112LSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113WSep 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk1.91101191152A. Volgina1.80126116113LSep 5 · 13:35A. Volgina2.10118111192O. Ivchenko1.67131189113LSep 4 · 19:35A. Volgina1.8061080M. Gordeets1.911112113WSep 4 · 17:35A. Lapa2.201071151A. Volgina1.6112116113WSep 4 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.6171131192A. Volgina2.20113117113LSep 4 · 14:35A. Volgina1.36111189102A. Gorchakova3.00961111123LSep 4 · 13:35K. Tymchenko2.631110611133A. Volgina1.44512116112
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.