TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13074010
Played Sep 4Finished
Ksenia Tymchenko
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911611––––
Anna Gorchakova
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:04 and never touched — 74.4% is still 74.4%
Graded at full timeAnna Gorchakova to win
74.4%
74.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKsenia Tymchenko above · Anna Gorchakova below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 54 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Anna Gorchakova at 74.4%
54 points played in total.
H2H Ksenia Tymchenko 7–32 Anna Gorchakova Ksenia Tymchenko has won 7 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:04What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Gorchakova
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-32 in 39
Gorchakova
Correct
gap of 25 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tymchenko 1502 vs Gorchakova 1538
Gorchakova
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tymchenko 40% vs Gorchakova 80%
Gorchakova
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tymchenko 40% vs Gorchakova 60%
Gorchakova
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tymchenko -3 · Gorchakova -1
Tymchenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Gorchakova)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTymchenko 3.25 / Gorchakova 1.33
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Gorchakova)+3.5pp
Setka Cup Women · #13074010
Tymchenko3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Gorchakova1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTymchenko1wins
AwayGorchakova9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderGorchakova leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTymchenko25%1 of 4
AwayGorchakova100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tymchenko4Gorchakova6n = 10Gorchakova took 6 of 10
S2Tymchenko3Gorchakova7n = 10Gorchakova took 7 of 10
S3Tymchenko1Gorchakova9n = 10Gorchakova took 9 of 10
S4Tymchenko2Gorchakova5n = 7Gorchakova took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricTymchenkoGorchakovaT − GBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.238.7−6.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTymchenkoGorchakovaBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 412 vs 191 / 41334.7%46.3%143 / 412 vs 191 / 413Avg sets wonper match1.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.535.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GorchakovaTymchenko 3.25/Gorchakova 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.4%
Gorchakova · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gorchakova won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 17:05K. Tymchenko—1191081A. Gorchakova—81112113
WAug 23 · 18:35K. Tymchenko—11118113A. Gorchakova—751181
LAug 20 · 12:35K. Tymchenko—10111141A. Gorchakova—12913113
LAug 16 · 19:05K. Tymchenko—9960A. Gorchakova—1111113
LJul 18 · 18:35K. Tymchenko—791191A. Gorchakova—11119113
LJun 5 · 17:05K. Tymchenko—11771162A. Gorchakova—611118113
LMay 29 · 12:35K. Tymchenko—91070A. Gorchakova—1112113
LMay 23 · 17:05K. Tymchenko—115551A. Gorchakova—71111113
LMay 8 · 17:05K. Tymchenko—10390A. Gorchakova—1211113
LApr 30 · 12:35K. Tymchenko—911471A. Gorchakova—11611113
K. Tymchenko10
LSep 6 · 18:35K. Tymchenko3.408760A. Gorchakova1.301111113LSep 6 · 15:35K. Tymchenko2.50451131V. Shevchuk1.5011117113LSep 4 · 17:05K. Bondarenko1.2211116593K. Tymchenko4.0099111162LSep 4 · 16:05K. Tymchenko2.50711771M. Gordeets1.5011411113LSep 4 · 15:05A. Lapa1.4017811113K. Tymchenko2.751511481WSep 4 · 13:35K. Tymchenko2.631110611133A. Volgina1.44512116112WAug 30 · 18:35K. Tymchenko2.63111111113A. Lapa1.44913671LAug 30 · 17:05K. Tymchenko3.251191081A. Gorchakova1.3381112113WAug 30 · 15:35K. Tymchenko2.38111211113V. Shevchuk1.531310581LAug 30 · 14:05K. Tymchenko2.751147111A. Volgina1.4081111123
A. Gorchakova10
WSep 6 · 18:35K. Tymchenko3.408760A. Gorchakova1.301111113WSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 16:35A. Gorchakova1.281112103O. Bondareva3.5071070WSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581LSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova3.7511511762M. Gordeets1.2561131193LSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861LSep 5 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.281111113A. Gorchakova3.509460LSep 5 · 16:35V. Shevchuk1.2511711113A. Gorchakova3.75611651LSep 5 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.408111173A. Gorchakova2.75116641WAug 30 · 17:05K. Tymchenko3.251191081A. Gorchakova1.3381112113
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