TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13084888
Played Sep 6Finished
Ksenia Tymchenko
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411511117311––
Viktoria Shevchuk
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:29 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeViktoria Shevchuk to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKsenia Tymchenko above · Viktoria Shevchuk below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 63 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Viktoria Shevchuk at 61.7%
63 points played in total.
H2H Ksenia Tymchenko 10–12 Viktoria Shevchuk Ksenia Tymchenko has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:29What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Shevchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-12 in 22
Shevchuk
Correct
gap of 2 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tymchenko 1463 vs Shevchuk 1642
Shevchuk
Correct
both rated, 179 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tymchenko 20% vs Shevchuk 80%
Shevchuk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tymchenko 30% vs Shevchuk 60%
Shevchuk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tymchenko -4 · Shevchuk -1
Tymchenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Shevchuk) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shevchuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTymchenko 2.50 / Shevchuk 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Shevchuk)+2.8pp
Setka Cup Women · #13084888
Tymchenko2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Shevchuk1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTymchenko5wins
AwayShevchuk5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTymchenko100%4 of 4
AwayShevchuk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tymchenko4Shevchuk6n = 10Shevchuk took 6 of 10
S2Tymchenko7Shevchuk3n = 10Tymchenko took 7 of 10
S3Tymchenko6Shevchuk4n = 10Tymchenko took 6 of 10
S4Tymchenko2Shevchuk4n = 6Shevchuk took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTymchenkoShevchukT − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.236.2+1.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTymchenkoShevchukBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 406 vs 156 / 27235%57.4%142 / 406 vs 156 / 272Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShevchukTymchenko 2.50/Shevchuk 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Shevchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Shevchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 15:35K. Tymchenko—111211113V. Shevchuk—1310581
WAug 23 · 15:05K. Tymchenko—1111113V. Shevchuk—9460
LAug 20 · 14:05K. Tymchenko—101190V. Shevchuk—1213113
LAug 15 · 13:05K. Tymchenko—9117101V. Shevchuk—11911123
WAug 8 · 14:05K. Tymchenko—123116113V. Shevchuk—101151192
WAug 2 · 16:05K. Tymchenko—1211133V. Shevchuk—102110
LJul 11 · 15:05K. Tymchenko—121161182V. Shevchuk—146119113
LJul 10 · 18:35K. Tymchenko—711561V. Shevchuk—11611113
WJul 4 · 12:35K. Tymchenko—1114113V. Shevchuk—81290
LJul 3 · 18:05K. Tymchenko—9101151V. Shevchuk—11126113
K. Tymchenko10
LSep 6 · 18:35K. Tymchenko3.408760A. Gorchakova1.301111113LSep 4 · 19:05K. Tymchenko3.256960A. Gorchakova1.331111113LSep 4 · 17:05K. Bondarenko1.2211116593K. Tymchenko4.0099111162LSep 4 · 16:05K. Tymchenko2.50711771M. Gordeets1.5011411113LSep 4 · 15:05A. Lapa1.4017811113K. Tymchenko2.751511481WSep 4 · 13:35K. Tymchenko2.631110611133A. Volgina1.44512116112WAug 30 · 18:35K. Tymchenko2.63111111113A. Lapa1.44913671LAug 30 · 17:05K. Tymchenko3.251191081A. Gorchakova1.3381112113WAug 30 · 15:35K. Tymchenko2.38111211113V. Shevchuk1.531310581LAug 30 · 14:05K. Tymchenko2.751147111A. Volgina1.4081111123
V. Shevchuk10
WSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102LSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172LSep 6 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.3011116612O. Bondareva3.4085111123WSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko1.73136891V. Shevchuk2.00111111113WSep 5 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko5.50291171V. Shevchuk1.1311117113WSep 5 · 17:35V. Shevchuk2.0011118113O. Ivchenko1.73491151WSep 5 · 16:35V. Shevchuk1.2511711113A. Gorchakova3.75611651LSep 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk1.91101191152A. Volgina1.80126116113LSep 5 · 13:05V. Shevchuk2.001681151M. Gordeets1.7318115113LAug 30 · 15:35K. Tymchenko2.38111211113V. Shevchuk1.531310581
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