TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13084825
Played Sep 6Finished
Oleksandra Ivchenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1311611811911––
Viktoria Shevchuk
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:58 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandra Ivchenko to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandra Ivchenko above · Viktoria Shevchuk below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 80 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandra Ivchenko at 55.3%
80 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandra Ivchenko 23–18 Viktoria Shevchuk Viktoria Shevchuk has won 18 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:58What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ivchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-18 in 41
Ivchenko
Wrong
gap of 5 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivchenko 1505 vs Shevchuk 1637
Shevchuk
Correct
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivchenko 40% vs Shevchuk 60%
Shevchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivchenko 40% vs Shevchuk 70%
Shevchuk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivchenko -3 · Shevchuk +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Ivchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivchenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvchenko 1.73 / Shevchuk 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Ivchenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup Women · #13084825
Ivchenko1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Shevchuk2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIvchenko4wins
AwayShevchuk6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderShevchuk leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvchenko60%3 of 5
AwayShevchuk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivchenko5Shevchuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Ivchenko4Shevchuk6n = 10Shevchuk took 6 of 10
S3Ivchenko5Shevchuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Ivchenko5Shevchuk5n = 10split evenly
S5Ivchenko2Shevchuk3n = 5Shevchuk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricIvchenkoShevchukI − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.742.5−0.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvchenkoShevchukBasisWin rate · lifetime350 / 567 vs 158 / 27561.7%57.5%350 / 567 vs 158 / 275Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvchenkoIvchenko 1.73/Shevchuk 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Ivchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Shevchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko—136891V. Shevchuk—111111113
LSep 5 · 17:35O. Ivchenko—491151V. Shevchuk—11118113
LAug 30 · 14:35O. Ivchenko—811881V. Shevchuk—11611103
WAug 23 · 16:05O. Ivchenko—51111113V. Shevchuk—116741
LAug 22 · 16:05O. Ivchenko—1111111152V. Shevchuk—131383113
WAug 15 · 16:05O. Ivchenko—111611153V. Shevchuk—61413131
WAug 7 · 14:35O. Ivchenko—111149133V. Shevchuk—771111112
LAug 1 · 13:35O. Ivchenko—112111082V. Shevchuk—711612113
WJul 25 · 14:35O. Ivchenko—114511113V. Shevchuk—51111272
LJul 24 · 16:05O. Ivchenko—67121192V. Shevchuk—1111107113
O. Ivchenko10
WSep 6 · 19:05O. Ivchenko1.2231113113O. Bondareva4.001171191LSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko1.91581181M. Gordeets1.8011116113LSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581LSep 5 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.0079111242M. Gordeets1.731111510113LSep 5 · 17:35V. Shevchuk2.0011118113O. Ivchenko1.73491151LSep 5 · 15:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25811711113O. Ivchenko1.3311211752WSep 5 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.408111173A. Gorchakova2.75116641WSep 5 · 13:35A. Volgina2.10118111192O. Ivchenko1.67131189113LAug 30 · 19:05A. Gorchakova2.75812515113O. Ivchenko1.401110111372LAug 30 · 18:05A. Volgina2.1011126113O. Ivchenko1.678101151
V. Shevchuk10
WSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102LSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 15:35K. Tymchenko2.50451131V. Shevchuk1.5011117113LSep 6 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.3011116612O. Bondareva3.4085111123WSep 5 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko5.50291171V. Shevchuk1.1311117113WSep 5 · 17:35V. Shevchuk2.0011118113O. Ivchenko1.73491151WSep 5 · 16:35V. Shevchuk1.2511711113A. Gorchakova3.75611651LSep 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk1.91101191152A. Volgina1.80126116113LSep 5 · 13:05V. Shevchuk2.001681151M. Gordeets1.7318115113WAug 30 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.00121114113A. Volgina1.731441281
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.