TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13084834
Played Sep 6Finished
Oleksandra Ivchenko
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511811116811––
Margarita Gordeets
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMargarita Gordeets to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandra Ivchenko above · Margarita Gordeets below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 71 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Margarita Gordeets at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandra Ivchenko 75–67 Margarita Gordeets Margarita Gordeets has won 67 of their 142 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:08What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Gordeets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
75-67 in 142
Ivchenko
Wrong
gap of 8 in 142, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivchenko 1505 vs Gordeets 1678
Gordeets
Correct
both rated, 173 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivchenko 0% vs Gordeets 80%
Gordeets
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivchenko 30% vs Gordeets 90%
Gordeets
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivchenko -5 · Gordeets +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gordeets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gordeets form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvchenko 1.91 / Gordeets 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Gordeets)+2.5pp
Setka Cup Women · #13084834
Ivchenko1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Gordeets1.80
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIvchenko4wins
AwayGordeets6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGordeets leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvchenko75%3 of 4
AwayGordeets83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivchenko4Gordeets6n = 10Gordeets took 6 of 10
S2Ivchenko4Gordeets6n = 10Gordeets took 6 of 10
S3Ivchenko6Gordeets4n = 10Ivchenko took 6 of 10
S4Ivchenko2Gordeets6n = 8Gordeets took 6 of 8
S5Ivchenko2Gordeets1n = 3Ivchenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricIvchenkoGordeetsI − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.238.6−0.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvchenkoGordeetsBasisWin rate · lifetime350 / 567 vs 361 / 62061.7%58.2%350 / 567 vs 361 / 620Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GordeetsIvchenko 1.91/Gordeets 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Gordeets · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gordeets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko—581181M. Gordeets—11116113
LSep 5 · 19:35O. Ivchenko—79111242M. Gordeets—1111510113
WAug 29 · 18:05O. Ivchenko—11119863M. Gordeets—96111142
WAug 23 · 19:35O. Ivchenko—713118113M. Gordeets—111181162
WAug 22 · 19:05O. Ivchenko—11711123M. Gordeets—8117101
LAug 15 · 19:05O. Ivchenko—911881M. Gordeets—11711113
LAug 1 · 16:05O. Ivchenko—1051181M. Gordeets—12115113
LJul 31 · 13:35O. Ivchenko—9780M. Gordeets—1111113
WJul 25 · 19:05O. Ivchenko—1111113M. Gordeets—7860
LJul 24 · 13:35O. Ivchenko—11910141M. Gordeets—31112163
O. Ivchenko10
WSep 6 · 19:05O. Ivchenko1.2231113113O. Bondareva4.001171191LSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581LSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko1.73136891V. Shevchuk2.00111111113LSep 5 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.0079111242M. Gordeets1.731111510113LSep 5 · 17:35V. Shevchuk2.0011118113O. Ivchenko1.73491151LSep 5 · 15:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25811711113O. Ivchenko1.3311211752WSep 5 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.408111173A. Gorchakova2.75116641WSep 5 · 13:35A. Volgina2.10118111192O. Ivchenko1.67131189113LAug 30 · 19:05A. Gorchakova2.75812515113O. Ivchenko1.401110111372LAug 30 · 18:05A. Volgina2.1011126113O. Ivchenko1.678101151
M. Gordeets10
LSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102WSep 6 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.221111113O. Bondareva4.0067100WSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova3.7511511762M. Gordeets1.2561131193WSep 5 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.0079111242M. Gordeets1.731111510113WSep 5 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.281111113A. Gorchakova3.509460WSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113LSep 5 · 14:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.00971111113M. Gordeets1.2211119892WSep 5 · 13:05V. Shevchuk2.001681151M. Gordeets1.7318115113WSep 4 · 19:35A. Volgina1.8061080M. Gordeets1.911112113WSep 4 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.331211133A. Gorchakova3.25108110
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