TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13079922
Played Sep 5Finished
Viktoria Shevchuk
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1618811115511––
Margarita Gordeets
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:10 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeMargarita Gordeets to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktoria Shevchuk above · Margarita Gordeets below
Set 1 · 16-18
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 85 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Margarita Gordeets at 54.9%
85 points played in total.
H2H Viktoria Shevchuk 16–25 Margarita Gordeets Viktoria Shevchuk has won 16 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:10What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Gordeets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-25 in 41
Gordeets
Correct
gap of 9 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shevchuk 1596 vs Gordeets 1671
Gordeets
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shevchuk 80% vs Gordeets 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shevchuk 50% vs Gordeets 70%
Gordeets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shevchuk +2 · Gordeets +4
Gordeets
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Gordeets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gordeets form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShevchuk 2.00 / Gordeets 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Gordeets)+1.2pp
Setka Cup Women · #13079922
Shevchuk2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Gordeets1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShevchuk2wins
AwayGordeets8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderGordeets leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShevchuk33.3%1 of 3
AwayGordeets85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shevchuk3Gordeets7n = 10Gordeets took 7 of 10
S2Shevchuk3Gordeets7n = 10Gordeets took 7 of 10
S3Shevchuk3Gordeets7n = 10Gordeets took 7 of 10
S4Shevchuk4Gordeets4n = 8split evenly
S5Shevchuk2Gordeets3n = 5Gordeets took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricShevchukGordeetsS − GBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.141.1−3.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShevchukGordeetsBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 265 vs 359 / 62157.4%57.8%152 / 265 vs 359 / 621Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GordeetsShevchuk 2.00/Gordeets 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Gordeets · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gordeets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 23 · 13:35V. Shevchuk—791151M. Gordeets—11112113
LAug 22 · 18:05V. Shevchuk—6890M. Gordeets—1111113
LAug 20 · 19:35V. Shevchuk—11117892M. Gordeets—941111113
LAug 15 · 18:05V. Shevchuk—11116101M. Gordeets—13911123
WAug 14 · 14:35V. Shevchuk—115411113M. Gordeets—41111592
WAug 2 · 19:35V. Shevchuk—1011911113M. Gordeets—12611562
LAug 1 · 19:35V. Shevchuk—941111102M. Gordeets—111189123
LJul 25 · 13:35V. Shevchuk—7670M. Gordeets—1111113
LJul 24 · 19:35V. Shevchuk—95111192M. Gordeets—111166113
LJul 17 · 13:05V. Shevchuk—1189101M. Gordeets—91111123
V. Shevchuk10
WSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102LSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 15:35K. Tymchenko2.50451131V. Shevchuk1.5011117113LSep 6 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.3011116612O. Bondareva3.4085111123WSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko1.73136891V. Shevchuk2.00111111113WSep 5 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko5.50291171V. Shevchuk1.1311117113WSep 5 · 17:35V. Shevchuk2.0011118113O. Ivchenko1.73491151WSep 5 · 16:35V. Shevchuk1.2511711113A. Gorchakova3.75611651LSep 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk1.91101191152A. Volgina1.80126116113WAug 30 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.00121114113A. Volgina1.731441281
M. Gordeets10
LSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102WSep 6 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.221111113O. Bondareva4.0067100WSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko1.91581181M. Gordeets1.8011116113WSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova3.7511511762M. Gordeets1.2561131193WSep 5 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.0079111242M. Gordeets1.731111510113WSep 5 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.281111113A. Gorchakova3.509460WSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113LSep 5 · 14:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.00971111113M. Gordeets1.2211119892WSep 4 · 19:35A. Volgina1.8061080M. Gordeets1.911112113WSep 4 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.331211133A. Gorchakova3.25108110
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