TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13079915
Played Sep 5Finished
Viktoria Shevchuk
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1012116911116511
Anastasiia Volgina
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnastasiia Volgina to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktoria Shevchuk above · Anastasiia Volgina below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 92 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Anastasiia Volgina at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Viktoria Shevchuk 19–23 Anastasiia Volgina Viktoria Shevchuk has won 19 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:09What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Volgina
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-23 in 42
Volgina
Correct
gap of 4 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shevchuk 1644 vs Volgina 1629
Shevchuk
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shevchuk 60% vs Volgina 40%
Shevchuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shevchuk 50% vs Volgina 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shevchuk -1 · Volgina -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Volgina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volgina form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShevchuk 1.91 / Volgina 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Volgina)+2.5pp
Setka Cup Women · #13079915
Shevchuk1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Volgina1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShevchuk4wins
AwayVolgina6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVolgina leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShevchuk50%2 of 4
AwayVolgina66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shevchuk4Volgina6n = 10Volgina took 6 of 10
S2Shevchuk6Volgina4n = 10Shevchuk took 6 of 10
S3Shevchuk2Volgina8n = 10Volgina took 8 of 10
S4Shevchuk3Volgina5n = 8Volgina took 5 of 8
S5Shevchuk2Volgina1n = 3Shevchuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricShevchukVolginaS − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.340.2−2.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShevchukVolginaBasisWin rate · lifetime155 / 270 vs 365 / 64457.4%56.7%155 / 270 vs 365 / 644Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolginaShevchuk 1.91/Volgina 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Volgina · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Volgina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk—101191152A. Volgina—126116113
WAug 30 · 19:35V. Shevchuk—121114113A. Volgina—1441281
LAug 23 · 19:05V. Shevchuk—4780A. Volgina—1111113
LAug 22 · 19:35V. Shevchuk—1011841A. Volgina—12911113
LAug 15 · 19:35V. Shevchuk—1214491A. Volgina—101611113
WAug 14 · 18:05V. Shevchuk—811119113A. Volgina—11871162
WAug 8 · 12:35V. Shevchuk—111176113A. Volgina—76111192
LAug 7 · 19:35V. Shevchuk—11980A. Volgina—1311113
WAug 1 · 14:35V. Shevchuk—11117103A. Volgina—781161
LJul 26 · 19:35V. Shevchuk—112571A. Volgina—71111113
V. Shevchuk10
WSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102LSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 15:35K. Tymchenko2.50451131V. Shevchuk1.5011117113LSep 6 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.3011116612O. Bondareva3.4085111123WSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko1.73136891V. Shevchuk2.00111111113WSep 5 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko5.50291171V. Shevchuk1.1311117113WSep 5 · 17:35V. Shevchuk2.0011118113O. Ivchenko1.73491151WSep 5 · 16:35V. Shevchuk1.2511711113A. Gorchakova3.75611651LSep 5 · 13:05V. Shevchuk2.001681151M. Gordeets1.7318115113WAug 30 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.00121114113A. Volgina1.731441281
A. Volgina10
WSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861WSep 5 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.7512971A. Volgina1.251411112LSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113LSep 5 · 13:35A. Volgina2.10118111192O. Ivchenko1.67131189113LSep 4 · 19:35A. Volgina1.8061080M. Gordeets1.911112113WSep 4 · 17:35A. Lapa2.201071151A. Volgina1.6112116113WSep 4 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.6171131192A. Volgina2.20113117113LSep 4 · 14:35A. Volgina1.36111189102A. Gorchakova3.00961111123LSep 4 · 13:35K. Tymchenko2.631110611133A. Volgina1.44512116112LAug 30 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.00121114113A. Volgina1.731441281
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