TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13084923
Played Sep 6Finished
Anna Gorchakova
Home
4.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511117119911117
Viktoria Shevchuk
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:29 and never touched — 81.0% is still 81.0%
Graded at full timeViktoria Shevchuk to win
81.0%
81.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAnna Gorchakova above · Viktoria Shevchuk below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 92 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Viktoria Shevchuk at 81.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Anna Gorchakova 7–22 Viktoria Shevchuk Anna Gorchakova has won 7 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:29What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Shevchuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-22 in 29
Shevchuk
Wrong
gap of 15 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gorchakova 1503 vs Shevchuk 1639
Shevchuk
Wrong
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gorchakova 40% vs Shevchuk 80%
Shevchuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gorchakova 30% vs Shevchuk 70%
Shevchuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gorchakova +2 · Shevchuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Shevchuk) · live re-read · sealed at 81% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gorchakova form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGorchakova 4.00 / Shevchuk 1.22
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Shevchuk)+2.4pp
Setka Cup Women · #13084923
Gorchakova4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Shevchuk1.22
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGorchakova2wins
AwayShevchuk8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderShevchuk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGorchakova33.3%1 of 3
AwayShevchuk85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gorchakova3Shevchuk7n = 10Shevchuk took 7 of 10
S2Gorchakova3Shevchuk7n = 10Shevchuk took 7 of 10
S3Gorchakova0Shevchuk10n = 10Shevchuk took 10 of 10
S4Gorchakova2Shevchuk4n = 6Shevchuk took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricGorchakovaShevchukG − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.239.9−6.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGorchakovaShevchukBasisWin rate · lifetime194 / 422 vs 157 / 27346%57.5%194 / 422 vs 157 / 273Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShevchukGorchakova 4.00/Shevchuk 1.22
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79%
Shevchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Gorchakova won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 16:35A. Gorchakova—611651V. Shevchuk—11711113
LAug 30 · 13:35A. Gorchakova—7980V. Shevchuk—1111113
LAug 23 · 17:05A. Gorchakova—7950V. Shevchuk—1111113
LAug 22 · 13:05A. Gorchakova—1173111V. Shevchuk—81111133
LAug 20 · 18:05A. Gorchakova—11101391V. Shevchuk—71215113
WAug 14 · 12:35A. Gorchakova—911711113V. Shevchuk—11911592
LAug 7 · 15:35A. Gorchakova—5460V. Shevchuk—1111113
WJul 26 · 18:05A. Gorchakova—1115911113V. Shevchuk—71711572
LJul 25 · 18:04A. Gorchakova—6960V. Shevchuk—1111113
LJul 25 · 14:07A. Gorchakova—1213981V. Shevchuk—141111113
A. Gorchakova10
WSep 6 · 18:35K. Tymchenko3.408760A. Gorchakova1.301111113WSep 6 · 16:35A. Gorchakova1.281112103O. Bondareva3.5071070WSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581LSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova3.7511511762M. Gordeets1.2561131193LSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861LSep 5 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.281111113A. Gorchakova3.509460LSep 5 · 16:35V. Shevchuk1.2511711113A. Gorchakova3.75611651LSep 5 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.408111173A. Gorchakova2.75116641LSep 5 · 12:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25811611113A. Gorchakova1.3311711992WSep 4 · 19:05K. Tymchenko3.256960A. Gorchakova1.331111113
V. Shevchuk10
WSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102WSep 6 · 15:35K. Tymchenko2.50451131V. Shevchuk1.5011117113LSep 6 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.3011116612O. Bondareva3.4085111123WSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko1.73136891V. Shevchuk2.00111111113WSep 5 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko5.50291171V. Shevchuk1.1311117113WSep 5 · 17:35V. Shevchuk2.0011118113O. Ivchenko1.73491151WSep 5 · 16:35V. Shevchuk1.2511711113A. Gorchakova3.75611651LSep 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk1.91101191152A. Volgina1.80126116113LSep 5 · 13:05V. Shevchuk2.001681151M. Gordeets1.7318115113WAug 30 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.00121114113A. Volgina1.731441281
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