TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13084845
Played Sep 6Finished
Anna Gorchakova
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171210107––––
Olena Bondareva
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:08 and never touched — 77.4% is still 77.4%
Graded at full timeAnna Gorchakova to win
77.4%
77.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnna Gorchakova above · Olena Bondareva below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 10-7
Point 57 set 3, 10-7 — our read held Anna Gorchakova at 77.4%
57 points played in total.
H2H Anna Gorchakova 24–5 Olena Bondareva Olena Bondareva has won 5 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:08What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Gorchakova
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-5 in 29
Gorchakova
Correct
gap of 19 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gorchakova 1490 vs Bondareva 1442
Gorchakova
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gorchakova 20% vs Bondareva 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gorchakova 30% vs Bondareva 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gorchakova +1 · Bondareva +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Gorchakova) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gorchakova form (20%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGorchakova 1.28 / Bondareva 3.50
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Gorchakova)+3.5pp
Setka Cup Women · #13084845
Gorchakova1.28
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Bondareva3.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGorchakova9wins
AwayBondareva1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGorchakova leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGorchakova90%9 of 10
AwayBondarevan = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gorchakova10Bondareva0n = 10Gorchakova took 10 of 10
S2Gorchakova6Bondareva4n = 10Gorchakova took 6 of 10
S3Gorchakova7Bondareva3n = 10Gorchakova took 7 of 10
S4Gorchakova5Bondareva0n = 5Gorchakova took 5 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGorchakovaBondarevaG − BBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match37.727.7+10.0per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGorchakovaBondarevaBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 421 vs 114 / 29145.8%39.2%193 / 421 vs 114 / 291Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.335.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GorchakovaGorchakova 1.28/Bondareva 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Gorchakova · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gorchakova won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 19:05A. Gorchakova—111110113O. Bondareva—881231
WAug 14 · 17:05A. Gorchakova—111311113O. Bondareva—715751
WJun 28 · 16:35A. Gorchakova—115711113O. Bondareva—71111722
WJun 26 · 16:35A. Gorchakova—1291183O. Bondareva—1011571
LJun 14 · 15:05A. Gorchakova—111231192O. Bondareva—814118113
WApr 30 · 19:05A. Gorchakova—1111113O. Bondareva—7560
WApr 24 · 19:05A. Gorchakova—111133O. Bondareva—3510
WApr 18 · 16:35A. Gorchakova—111293O. Bondareva—91030
WApr 10 · 19:05A. Gorchakova—1111113O. Bondareva—7860
WApr 4 · 19:05A. Gorchakova—1112113O. Bondareva—21070
A. Gorchakova10
WSep 6 · 18:35K. Tymchenko3.408760A. Gorchakova1.301111113WSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581LSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova3.7511511762M. Gordeets1.2561131193LSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861LSep 5 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.281111113A. Gorchakova3.509460LSep 5 · 16:35V. Shevchuk1.2511711113A. Gorchakova3.75611651LSep 5 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.408111173A. Gorchakova2.75116641LSep 5 · 12:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25811611113A. Gorchakova1.3311711992WSep 4 · 19:05K. Tymchenko3.256960A. Gorchakova1.331111113
O. Bondareva10
LSep 6 · 19:05O. Ivchenko1.2231113113O. Bondareva4.001171191LSep 6 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.221111113O. Bondareva4.0067100WSep 6 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.3011116612O. Bondareva3.4085111123LAug 29 · 18:35O. Bondareva3.251166101K. Bondarenko1.3391111102LAug 29 · 14:05O. Bondareva4.00127591O. Ivchenko1.22101111113LAug 29 · 12:35O. Bondareva4.00111144152M. Gordeets1.22881111173LAug 20 · 19:05O. Bondareva3.50881231A. Gorchakova1.28111110113WAug 20 · 17:05K. Tymchenko3.509580O. Bondareva1.281111113LAug 20 · 16:05O. Bondareva3.259790V. Shevchuk1.331111113WAug 20 · 15:05A. Lapa1.3311711292O. Bondareva3.25911611113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.