TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12461434
Played Aug 20Finished
Olena Bondareva
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711911––––
Viktoria Shevchuk
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:02 and never touched — 78.9% is still 78.9%
Graded at full timeViktoria Shevchuk to win
78.9%
78.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOlena Bondareva above · Viktoria Shevchuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Viktoria Shevchuk at 78.9%
58 points played in total.
H2H Olena Bondareva 6–11 Viktoria Shevchuk Olena Bondareva has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:02What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Shevchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-11 in 17
Shevchuk
Correct
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bondareva 1429 vs Shevchuk 1607
Shevchuk
Correct
both rated, 177 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bondareva 20% vs Shevchuk 40%
Shevchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bondareva 30% vs Shevchuk 70%
Shevchuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bondareva +1 · Shevchuk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Shevchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shevchuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBondareva 3.25 / Shevchuk 1.33
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Shevchuk)+8.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12461434
Bondareva3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Shevchuk1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBondareva2wins
AwayShevchuk8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderShevchuk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBondareva33.3%1 of 3
AwayShevchuk85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bondareva3Shevchuk7n = 10Shevchuk took 7 of 10
S2Bondareva4Shevchuk6n = 10Shevchuk took 6 of 10
S3Bondareva3Shevchuk7n = 10Shevchuk took 7 of 10
S4Bondareva3Shevchuk4n = 7Shevchuk took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBondarevaShevchukB − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.538.6−5.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBondarevaShevchukBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 294 vs 142 / 24739.5%57.5%116 / 294 vs 142 / 247Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShevchukBondareva 3.25/Shevchuk 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.9%
Shevchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Shevchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 14 · 19:05O. Bondareva—11711742V. Shevchuk—711611113
WAug 8 · 18:03O. Bondareva—11911113V. Shevchuk—711491
LAug 8 · 15:35O. Bondareva—112891V. Shevchuk—91111113
LAug 2 · 18:05O. Bondareva—9760V. Shevchuk—1111113
LJul 10 · 15:05O. Bondareva—71191132V. Shevchuk—119117113
WJul 3 · 14:05O. Bondareva—81112113V. Shevchuk—1171061
LMay 30 · 17:05O. Bondareva—8970V. Shevchuk—1111113
LApr 26 · 19:05O. Bondareva—8690V. Shevchuk—1111113
LApr 18 · 12:35O. Bondareva—5114101V. Shevchuk—11811123
LApr 12 · 15:05O. Bondareva—12111081V. Shevchuk—14612113
O. Bondareva10
LSep 6 · 19:05O. Ivchenko1.2231113113O. Bondareva4.001171191LSep 6 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.221111113O. Bondareva4.0067100LSep 6 · 16:35A. Gorchakova1.281112103O. Bondareva3.5071070WSep 6 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.3011116612O. Bondareva3.4085111123LAug 29 · 18:35O. Bondareva3.251166101K. Bondarenko1.3391111102LAug 29 · 14:05O. Bondareva4.00127591O. Ivchenko1.22101111113LAug 29 · 12:35O. Bondareva4.00111144152M. Gordeets1.22881111173LAug 20 · 19:05O. Bondareva3.50881231A. Gorchakova1.28111110113WAug 20 · 17:05K. Tymchenko3.509580O. Bondareva1.281111113WAug 20 · 15:05A. Lapa1.3311711292O. Bondareva3.25911611113
V. Shevchuk10
WSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102LSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 15:35K. Tymchenko2.50451131V. Shevchuk1.5011117113LSep 6 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.3011116612O. Bondareva3.4085111123WSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko1.73136891V. Shevchuk2.00111111113WSep 5 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko5.50291171V. Shevchuk1.1311117113WSep 5 · 17:35V. Shevchuk2.0011118113O. Ivchenko1.73491151WSep 5 · 16:35V. Shevchuk1.2511711113A. Gorchakova3.75611651LSep 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk1.91101191152A. Volgina1.80126116113LSep 5 · 13:05V. Shevchuk2.001681151M. Gordeets1.7318115113
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